Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Capital Brasilia win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 30.49% and a win for Juazeirense had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Capital Brasilia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.7%) , while for a Juazeirense win it was 1-0 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.