Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo 0 - 0 Fluminense

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 7, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Rivadavia 1 - 0 Bolivar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia has a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it is 0-1 (7.26%).

Result

Fluminense 55.48%
Draw 25.8%
Independiente Rivadavia 18.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.89%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.97%
Under 1.5 31.03%
Over 2.5 42.54%
Under 2.5 57.46%
Over 3.5 21.43%
Under 3.5 78.57%
Over 4.5 11.88%
Under 4.5 88.12%

First Half Winner

Fluminense 36.51%
Draw 44.05%
Independiente Rivadavia 19.44%

Team To Score First

Fluminense 57.74%
No Goal 9.27%
Independiente Rivadavia 32.99%

Corners

Over 8 46.86%
Equal 8 12.39%
Under 8 40.76%
Over 9 35.27%
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 53.14%
Over 10.5 25.33%
Under 10.5 74.67%

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 46.08%
Under 1.5 53.92%
Over 2.5 20.56%
Under 2.5 79.44%
Over 3.5 7.4%
Under 3.5 92.6%

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 0.5 51.85%
Under 0.5 48.15%
Over 1.5 17.77%
Under 1.5 82.23%
Over 2.5 4.3%
Under 2.5 95.7%
Over 3.5 0.9%
Under 3.5 99.1%

Score analysis

Fluminense 55.48%
Draw 25.81%
Independiente Rivadavia 18.73%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 14.52%
2-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 7.39%
Total : 55.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.81%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 2.84%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.73%