Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
2
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Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT :
1
1
FT
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
-
Guilherme Arana
10'
-
Facundo Bernal
46'
-
Guga
66'
-
Kevin Serna
66'
-
John Kennedy
77'
-
Wesley Natã
81'
-
Fabrizio Sartori
37'
-
Álex Arce
51'
-
Juan Elordi
74'
-
Alejo Osella
74'
-
Gonzalo Ríos
81'
-
Leonel Bucca
81'
-
Iván Villalba
87'
Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.76% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%) , while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Fluminense
53.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
25.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Independiente Rivadavia
20.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.55%
Goals
Over 1.5
70.15%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
29.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
44.08%
Under 2.5
55.92%
Over 3.5
22.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
77.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
12.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
87.34%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Fluminense
34.63%
Draw
44.7%
Independiente Rivadavia
20.66%
Team To Score First
Fluminense
56.35%
No Goal
8.73%
Independiente Rivadavia
34.92%
Corners
Over 8
48.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 8
12.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
39.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
36.85%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
51.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 10.5
26.8%
Under 10.5
73.2%
Fluminense Goals
Over 1.5
45.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
54.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
20.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
79.35%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
7.55%
Under 3.5
92.45%
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5
54.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
45.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
20.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
79.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
5.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
94.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
1.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
98.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Fluminense
53.6%
Draw
25.76%
Independiente Rivadavia
20.65%
Fluminense
1-0
@
13.64%
2-0 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 7.5%
Total : 53.6%
2-0 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 7.5%
Total : 53.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.35%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.76%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.76%
Independiente Rivadavia
0-1
@
7.49%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.65%
Form Data
Build-up
News
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