Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Rivadavia 4 - 1 Deportivo

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Bolivar 2 - 0 Fluminense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 30.28% and a draw has a probability of 27.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 0-1 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.25%).

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 41.9% (-0.65)
Draw 27.82% (+0.50)
Fluminense 30.28% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.76% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.46% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 28.54% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 45.86% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 54.14% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 24.3% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 75.7% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 12.99% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 87.01% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Independiente Rivadavia 30.55% (-0.49)
Draw 45.51% (+0.04)
Fluminense 23.94% (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Independiente Rivadavia 50.88% (-0.37)
No Goal 8.55% (+0.19)
Fluminense 40.57% (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 47.59% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.36% (+0.08)
Under 8 40.05% (-0.22)
Over 9 35.96% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.63% (+0.09)
Under 9 52.41% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 25.92% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.08% (+0.02)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 61.27% (+0.43)
Over 2.5 15.51% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 84.49% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+0.09)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 64.3% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.7% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 29.6% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 70.4% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 10.28% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.72% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.87% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.13% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 41.89%
Draw 27.82%
Fluminense 30.28%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.14% (-0.17)
Total : 41.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.55% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.07)
Total : 27.82%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.88% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.92% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.75% (+0.01)
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Guilherme Arana 10' goal
  • Facundo Bernal  46' yellowcard
  • Guga 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 66' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 77' yellowcard
  • Wesley Natã 81' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Sartori 37'
  • goal Álex Arce  51'
  • yellowcard Juan Elordi 74'
  • yellowcard Alejo Osella 74'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Ríos 81'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
  • yellowcard Iván Villalba 87'