Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Álex Arce  66' goal
  • Iván Villalba 79' yellowcard
  • Alejo Osella 82' yellowcard
  • Juan Elordi 82' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 86' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alisson 78'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 78'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 78'
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 82'
  • goal John Kennedy 90'+1'

Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente Rivadavia 4 - 1 Deportivo

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Bolivar 2 - 0 Fluminense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 39.57% (-2.36)
Draw 27.79% (-0.06)
Fluminense 32.64% (+2.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 29.15% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 45.21% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 54.79% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 23.79% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 76.21% (+0.41)
Over 4.5 12.54% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 87.46% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Independiente Rivadavia 30.37% (-0.10)
Draw 45.4% (-0.15)
Fluminense 24.23% (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Independiente Rivadavia 50.83% (-0.20)
No Goal 8.73% (+0.10)
Fluminense 40.44% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 29.88% (-17.59)
Equal 8 9.92% (-2.52)
Under 8 60.2% (+20.13)
Over 9 21.83% (-13.96)
Equal 9 8.04% (-3.66)
Under 9 70.12% (+17.60)
Over 10.5 15.75% (-9.95)
Under 10.5 84.25% (+9.96)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 1.5 36.55% (-2.16)
Under 1.5 63.45% (+2.16)
Over 2.5 14.18% (-1.31)
Under 2.5 85.82% (+1.30)
Over 3.5 4.61% (-0.63)
Under 3.5 95.39% (+0.63)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 65.77% (+1.52)
Under 0.5 34.23% (-1.53)
Over 1.5 31.1% (+1.59)
Under 1.5 68.9% (-1.59)
Over 2.5 11.06% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 88.94% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 3.15% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 96.85% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 39.58%
Draw 27.77%
Fluminense 32.64%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.37)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.46)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.5% (-0.63)
Total : 39.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 8.73% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.77%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 9.54% (+0.64)
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 5.51% (+0.57)
1-3 @ 2.79% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.04% (+0.32)
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Guilherme Arana 10' goal
  • Facundo Bernal  46' yellowcard
  • Guga 66' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 66' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 77' yellowcard
  • Wesley Natã 81' yellowcard
  • goal Fabrizio Sartori 37'
  • goal Álex Arce  51'
  • yellowcard Juan Elordi 74'
  • yellowcard Alejo Osella 74'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Ríos 81'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 81'
  • yellowcard Iván Villalba 87'