Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Robson Matheus 6' goal
  • Pato Rodríguez 57' yellowcard
  • Robson Matheus 61' goal
  • Erwin Saavedra 72' yellowcard
  • Jhon Velásquez 72' yellowcard
  • Ervin Vaca 79' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 59'
  • yellowcard Alisson 59'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 59'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 79'
  • yellowcard 79'

Bolivar vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Deportivo

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Independiente Rivadavia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Bolivar 53.25% (-0.11)
Draw 23.17% (+0.07)
Fluminense 23.61% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.86% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.14% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.33%
Under 2.5 42.67%
Over 3.5 36.57%
Under 3.5 63.43% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.26%
Under 4.5 76.74%

First Half Winner

Bolivar 43.95%
Draw 36.94%
Fluminense 19.11%

Team To Score First

Bolivar 60.58%
No Goal 5.38% (+0.01)
Fluminense 34.04% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.33%
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 37.03%
Over 9 41.91%
Equal 9 10.42%
Under 9 47.67%
Over 10.5 32.45%
Under 10.5 67.55%

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 53.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.44% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 29% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 13.42% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.58% (+0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 58.58% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.42% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 28.27% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 71.73% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 10.27% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.73% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Bolivar 53.26%
Draw 23.17%
Fluminense 23.61%
Bolivar
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 13.18% (-0.05)
Total : 53.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.01)
Total : 23.17%
Fluminense
1-2 @ 5.83% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Total : 23.61%