Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Deportivo

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Independiente Rivadavia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 23.54% and a draw has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 1-2 (5.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Bolivar 53.35%
Draw 23.11% (-0.07)
Fluminense 23.54% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 57.33% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.67% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.57% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.39% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.26% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.74% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bolivar 43.95%
Draw 36.94%
Fluminense 19.11%

Team To Score First

Bolivar 60.58% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.37% (-0.04)
Fluminense 34.05% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 52.33%
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 37.03%
Over 9 41.91%
Equal 9 10.42%
Under 9 47.67%
Over 10.5 32.45%
Under 10.5 67.55%

Bolivar Goals

Over 1.5 53.59% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 46.41% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 29.05% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 13.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 86.55% (-0.04)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 58.47%
Under 0.5 41.53%
Over 1.5 28.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.83% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.22% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.96%
Under 3.5 97.04%

Score analysis

Bolivar 53.35%
Draw 23.11%
Fluminense 23.54%
Bolivar
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 13.22% (+0.05)
Total : 53.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.01)
Total : 23.11%
Fluminense
1-2 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.01)
Total : 23.54%