Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.