Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.93% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.