Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%).