Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3

Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Independiente Rivadavia

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Deportivo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira has a probability of 30.47% and a draw has a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win is 0-1 (9.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.41%).

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 41.55% (+1.46)
Draw 27.98% (+0.22)
Deportivo La Guaira 30.47% (-1.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.68% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.8% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 30.2% (-0.70)
Over 2.5 44.03% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 55.97% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 22.8% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 77.2% (-0.82)
Over 4.5 12.21% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 87.79% (-0.65)

First Half Winner

Independiente Rivadavia 27.78% (+0.07)
Draw 47.69% (+1.55)
Deportivo La Guaira 24.53% (-1.61)

Team To Score First

Independiente Rivadavia 46.9% (+0.55)
No Goal 9.18% (-0.22)
Deportivo La Guaira 43.92% (-0.34)

Corners

Over 8 50.42% (+5.00)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.42)
Under 8 37.68% (-4.60)
Over 9 38.97% (+4.94)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.07)
Under 9 49.58% (-5.00)
Over 10.5 28.84% (+4.49)
Under 10.5 71.16% (-4.49)

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 1.5 37.16% (+1.44)
Under 1.5 62.84% (-1.44)
Over 2.5 15.02% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 84.98% (-1.16)
Over 3.5 4.92% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 95.08% (-0.58)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5 63.44% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 36.56% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 28.61% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 71.39% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 9.82% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.18% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.63% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.37% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 41.55%
Draw 27.99%
Deportivo La Guaira 30.47%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 11.7% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.28% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 3.62% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.8% (+0.48)
Total : 41.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.09)
Total : 27.99%
Deportivo La Guaira
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.76)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.91% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.51% (-0.14)
Total : 30.47%