Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
  • Álex Arce  27' goal
  • Sebastián Villa 45' yellowcard
  • Álex Arce  45'+2' goal
  • Álex Arce  64' goal
  • Juan Elordi 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Atencio 76' yellowcard
  • Leonel Bucca 82' yellowcard
  • Victorio Ramis 82' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Ríos 87' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo Ortiz 32'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rodríguez 53'
  • yellowcard Juan Castellanos 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 53'
  • yellowcard Carlos Faya 54'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rodríguez 54'
  • yellowcard Yackson Rivas 79'
  • yellowcard Cesar Da Silva 79'

Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Rivadavia

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 1 - 2 Independiente Rivadavia

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.00am
Bolivar 1 - 1 Deportivo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 0-1 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%).

Result

Independiente Rivadavia 41.61% (+0.04)
Draw 28% (+0.04)
Deportivo La Guaira 30.42% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.62% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.72% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 30.28% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 43.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.17% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.83% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente Rivadavia 27.76%
Draw 47.68%
Deportivo La Guaira 24.56%

Team To Score First

Independiente Rivadavia 46.89%
No Goal 9.21% (+0.02)
Deportivo La Guaira 43.9% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.45%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 37.65%
Over 9 38.99%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 49.55%
Over 10.5 28.85%
Under 10.5 71.15%

Independiente Rivadavia Goals

Over 1.5 37.15% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.85% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.02% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.98% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.92%
Under 3.5 95.08%

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5 63.36% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.64% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 28.51% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 71.49% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 9.77% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.23% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.61%
Under 3.5 97.39%

Score analysis

Independiente Rivadavia 41.6%
Draw 28.01%
Deportivo La Guaira 30.41%
Independiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 11.74% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.8% (-0.01)
Total : 41.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 28.01%
Deportivo La Guaira
0-1 @ 9.35% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Total : 30.41%