Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 32.36% and a draw has a probability of 30.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Gremio win is 1-0 (11.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.41%).

Result

Gremio 32.36% (-0.53)
Draw 30.41% (+0.68)
Flamengo 37.2% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78% (-2.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.64% (-2.86)
Under 1.5 32.36% (+2.86)
Over 2.5 40.85% (-3.58)
Under 2.5 59.15% (+3.58)
Over 3.5 20.01% (-2.80)
Under 3.5 79.99% (+2.80)
Over 4.5 9.81% (-1.76)
Under 4.5 90.19% (+1.76)

First Half Winner

Gremio 26.63% (+0.08)
Draw 48% (+0.12)
Flamengo 25.37% (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Gremio 45.88% (-0.63)
No Goal 10.15% (+1.17)
Flamengo 43.97% (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 50.63% (-1.15)
Equal 8 12.12% (+0.16)
Under 8 37.24% (+0.97)
Over 9 38.96% (-1.18)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.05)
Under 9 49.37% (+1.15)
Over 10.5 28.64% (-1.13)
Under 10.5 71.36% (+1.13)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 29.14% (-2.38)
Under 1.5 70.86% (+2.38)
Over 2.5 8.93% (-1.33)
Under 2.5 91.07% (+1.32)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.52)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.82% (-1.54)
Under 0.5 31.18% (+1.54)
Over 1.5 33.2% (-2.09)
Under 1.5 66.8% (+2.10)
Over 2.5 12.27% (-1.45)
Under 2.5 87.73% (+1.44)
Over 3.5 3.51% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 96.49% (+0.65)

Score analysis

Gremio 32.35%
Draw 30.42%
Flamengo 37.2%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.01% (+0.82)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.19% (-0.46)
Total : 32.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.41% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 10.15% (+1.17)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.54)
Other @ 0.25% (-0.06)
Total : 30.42%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 11.17% (+0.84)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.62% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.26% (-0.60)
Total : 37.2%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Edenilson 11' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 4'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 30'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 12' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 55' goal
  • Joao Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 83' goal
  • goal Matheus Goncalves 25'
  • redcard Carlos Moises de Lima 58'
  • goal Felipe Gabriel Cunha Teresa 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes 81' goal
  • Nathan Ribeiro 81' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'