Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Gremio
May 10, 2026 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
Flamengo
  • Caio Paulista 10' yellowcard
  • Tiaguinho 65' yellowcard
  • José Enamorado 77' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 64'
  • yellowcard Emerson Royal 65'
  • goal Jorge Carrascal 68'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  87'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 87'

Gremio vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 8.00pm
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (11.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 32.36%
Draw 30.41%
Flamengo 37.23% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 32.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 40.85%
Under 2.5 59.15%
Over 3.5 20.01%
Under 3.5 79.99%
Over 4.5 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.2% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Gremio 26.63%
Draw 48%
Flamengo 25.37%

Team To Score First

Gremio 45.88%
No Goal 10.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Flamengo 43.96% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.63%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 37.24%
Over 9 38.96%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 49.37%
Over 10.5 28.64%
Under 10.5 71.36%

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 29.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.51%
Under 3.5 96.49%

Score analysis

Gremio 32.35%
Draw 30.41%
Flamengo 37.22%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 32.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.41%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.22%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Flamengo
Aug 31, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Gremio
Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Gremio
Flamengo
  • Edenilson 11' yellowcard
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 4'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 30'
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 67'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Gremio
Sep 22, 2024 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
Flamengo
  • Franco Cristaldo 12' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 55' goal
  • Joao Pedro 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 83' goal
  • goal Matheus Goncalves 25'
  • redcard Carlos Moises de Lima 58'
  • goal Felipe Gabriel Cunha Teresa 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Flamengo
Jun 14, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Pedro 32' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Tite 33' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 42' goal
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wesley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 67' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 46'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 55'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 90'+3'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
  • goal Edenilson 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Gremio
Oct 26, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena do Gremio
Flamengo
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 26' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 47' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Ferreira 76' goal
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Geromel 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ribeiro Fernandes 81' goal
  • Nathan Ribeiro 81' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • Andre Henrique 86' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 24'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • goal Everton 42'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araujo 84'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • goal Luiz Araujo 89'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
  • yellowcard Everton Ribeiro 90'
Copa do Brasil
Flamengo
Aug 17, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Gremio
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 11' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Gerson 66' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 74' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 22'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 72'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 75'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 90'+5'

Form Data

Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Palestino 0 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 0 Coritiba
Gremio 2 - 0 Confianca
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Gremio
Medellin 0 - 0 Flamengo
Flamengo 2 - 2 Vasco
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo
Flamengo 2 - 1 Vitoria
Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia