Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Léo Derik 35' yellowcard
  • Dudu 63' yellowcard
  • Diogo Riquelme 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riquelme 46'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 46'
  • yellowcard Willian 51'
  • yellowcard Tetê 65'

Athletico Paranaense vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
Athletico PR 3 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Gremio 1 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.12% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 60.66% (-0.03)
Draw 23.12%
Gremio 16.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.38% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.29% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.39% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.61% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 44.95%
Draw 40.92% (+0.02)
Gremio 14.13% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 65.38%
No Goal 7.68% (-0.02)
Gremio 26.94% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.85% (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.64% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.51% (-0.10)
Over 9 42.22% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.63%
Under 9 45.15% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 30.77% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 69.23% (-0.09)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 51.79% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.21% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 24.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.39% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 49.7% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.3% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.99% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 83.01% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.21% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.79% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.88% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.12% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 60.66%
Draw 23.12%
Gremio 16.22%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 11.99% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.29% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 9.58% (+0.01)
Total : 60.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 23.12%
Gremio
0-1 @ 5.94%
1-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.85% (+0.02)
Total : 16.22%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Mateo Gamarra 17' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 82' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Martins 18'
  • goal Miguel Monsalve 21'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 19' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 51' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 33'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Lucas Besozzi 7' goal
  • Luis Suarez 44' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 58' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 25'
  • goal Bruno Zapelli 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 53'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 73'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 85'
  • goal Kaique Rocha 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 34' goal
  • goal Cuiabano 31'
  • goal Bruno Uvini 49'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Pedro Rocha 31' goal
  • Pedro Rocha 45'+1' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 55' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 61' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 67' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago 59'
  • yellowcard Ruan 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 66'
  • goal Vanderson 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Sarara 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Jun 13, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matheus Henrique 34' yellowcard
  • Thiago 60' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 65' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Maicon Souza 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian 11'
  • goal Matheus Babi 44'
  • yellowcard Matheus Babi 50'
  • yellowcard Richard 87'
  • yellowcard Khellven 90'+5'