Copa Sudamericana
Gameweek
3
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fgrelog.png)
-
Fernando Meza
76'
-
Ronnie Fernández
76'
-
Dylan Salgado
76'
-
Gonzalo Tapia
85'
-
Carlos Vinícius
11'
-
Carlos Vinícius
14'
-
Carlos Vinícius
17'
-
José Enamorado
46'
-
Erick Noriega
46'
-
Arthur Melo
46'
-
Martin Braithwaite
71'
-
Riquelme
71'
Palestino vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fgremio-players-celebrate-a-goal-on-march-19-2026-action-plus-69bee7187c00e516960529.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result
Palestino
41.55%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
25.7%
Gremio
32.78%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
26.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
48.92%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
51.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
26.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
73.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
14.56%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.44%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Palestino
34.19%
Draw
44.43%
Gremio
21.38%
Team To Score First
Palestino
53.46%
No Goal
7.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Gremio
38.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
48.84%
Equal 8
11.9%
Under 8
39.26%
Over 9
37.54%
Equal 9
11.3%
Under 9
51.16%
Over 10.5
27.65%
Under 10.5
72.35%
Palestino Goals
Over 1.5
39.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
60.41%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
16.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
83.49%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
5.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
94.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
65.8%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
34.2%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
32.41%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
67.59%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
12.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
87.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
3.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
96.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Palestino
41.54%
Draw
25.71%
Gremio
32.79%
Palestino
1-0
@
10.3%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.54%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.54%
Draw
1-1
@
11.83%
0-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
Gremio
0-1
@
8.94%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.79%
1-2 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 32.79%