Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
Palestino 0 - 2 Torque

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 11.00pm
Gremio 1 - 0 Deportivo Riestra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palestino win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 32.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (8.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Palestino 41.61% (+0.04)
Draw 25.7%
Gremio 32.72% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.85%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.21% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.79% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.88% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.12%
Over 3.5 26.59%
Under 3.5 73.41%
Over 4.5 14.55% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.45% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Palestino 34.19%
Draw 44.43%
Gremio 21.38%

Team To Score First

Palestino 53.46%
No Goal 7.58%
Gremio 38.96%

Corners

Over 8 48.84%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 39.26%
Over 9 37.54%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 51.16%
Over 10.5 27.65%
Under 10.5 72.35%

Palestino Goals

Over 1.5 39.63% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.37% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.54% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.46% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.7% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.3% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 65.73% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.34%
Under 1.5 67.66%
Over 2.5 12.05%
Under 2.5 87.95%
Over 3.5 3.65% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.35% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palestino 41.63%
Draw 25.72%
Gremio 32.71%
Palestino
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25%
Other @ 5.57% (+0.02)
Total : 41.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 25.72%
Gremio
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 32.71%