Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Palestino
0 - 2
Mushuc Runa

Espinoza (19'), Espinoza (19'), Meza (57'), Meza (57'), Fernandez (58'), Fernandez (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (70', 70'), Penilla (88', 88')
Tapiero (24'), Tapiero (24'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (45+2'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (45+2'), Fabian Quintero Loor (46'), Fabian Quintero Loor (46'), Sinisterra (68'), Sinisterra (68')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Palestino and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Palestino
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Mushuc Runa

Last Game: Union 0-1 Mushuc Runa
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Palestino	Draw	Mushuc Runa
49.15% ( 0.26)	23.41% ( 0.05)	27.43% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.08% (

-0.47)

41.92% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.68% (

-0.47)

64.32% (

0.47)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

-0.08)

17.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

-0.14)

47.52% (

0.14)

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

-0.46)

28.39% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

-0.59)

64.14% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Palestino 49.15%

Mushuc Runa 27.43%

Draw 23.41%

Palestino	Draw	Mushuc Runa
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.15%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 27.43%