Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Mushuc Runa win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.