Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.