Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 39.35%. A draw had a probability of 32.02% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%) , while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.