Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 34.87%. A win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 (12.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.