Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 31.29% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.65%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.