Mar 28, 2026 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Santiago Guzmán 42'
Mateo Levato 42'
Santiago Benítez 46'
Jonathan Urretaviscaya 47'
Facundo Labandeira 60'
Nicolás Olivera 73'
Mateo Acosta 76'
José Alberti 76'
Rodrigo Rivero 80'

Mateo Argüello 46'
Bruno Morales 46'
Axel Méndez 56'
Agustín Miranda 56'
Brian Quinteros 71'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

L
W
L
D
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
D
W
L

Last game

Mar 25, 2026 5.00pm

Albion 2 - 1 Wanderers

Cerro

All competitions

W
L
L
L
D
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
L
L
D
D

Last game

Mar 25, 2026 8.00pm

Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 43.07% ▼ (-0.16)

Draw 28.7% ▲ (+0.08)

Cerro 28.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score:

44.87% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.75% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 1.5 35.25% ▲ (+0.25)

Over 2.5 38.94% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 2.5 61.06% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 3.5 18.76% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 3.5 81.19% ▲ (+0.13)

Over 4.5 9.64% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 4.5 90.36% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 30.52% ▼ (-0.06)

Draw 45.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Cerro 23.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 49.31% ▼ (-0.25)

No Goal 11.37% ▲ (+0.10)

Cerro 39.32% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 51.53% ▼ (-0.69)

Equal 8 11.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 8 36.65% ▲ (+0.62)

Over 9 40.07% ▼ (-0.68)

Equal 9 11.47%

Under 9 48.47% ▲ (+0.69)

Over 10.5 29.83% ▼ (-0.64)

Under 10.5 70.17% ▲ (+0.63)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 35.19% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 1.5 64.81% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 2.5 13.41% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 2.5 86.59% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 59.24% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 0.5 40.76% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 24.14% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 1.5 75.86% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 2.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 98.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 43.07%

Draw 28.7%

Cerro 28.18%

Montevideo Wanderers

1-0 @ 13.52%

2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.04)

3-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)

3-2 @ 1.87%

Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 43.07%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.93% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.10)

2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 28.7%

Cerro

0-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.09)

1-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)

1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.66%

2-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 28.18%

Head to Head

Sep 27, 2025 12.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 2, 2025 12.00am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Enzo Larrosa 14'
Enzo Larrosa 14'
Mauro Villar 53'
Mauro Villar 53'
Matias Ocampo 61'
Matias Ocampo 61'
Agustin Mulet 88'
Agustin Mulet 88'
Rafael Haller 90'+7'
Rafael Haller 90'+7'

Martin Suarez 7'
Martin Suarez 7'
Sebastian Figueredo 53'
Sebastian Figueredo 53'
Joaquin Zeballos 68'
Joaquin Zeballos 68'
Mauro Silveira 90'+4'
Mauro Silveira 90'+4'

Mar 31, 2025 11.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Enzo Larrosa 45'
Enzo Larrosa 50'
Brian Leonel Benitez 69'
Mathias Abero 76'
Anthony Nahuel Aires Almeida 90'+5'

Nicolas Royon 16'
Nicolas Royon 42'
Andrew Teuten 90'+3'

Aug 16, 2024 11.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Lucas Morales 24'
Mario Risso 38'
Emiliano Garcia 90'+8'

Mathias Abero 73'
Martin Gonzalez 82'
Mathias Abero 90'+1'

Feb 18, 2024 1.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Santiago Ramirez 39'
Martin Gonzalez 90'+1'

Leonel Bontempo 23'
Matias Fonseca 28'
Gonzalo Freitas 54'
Facundo Milan 75'
Emiliano Garcia 85'

Nov 3, 2023 10.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Fernando Souza 45'+2'
Mathias Abero 55'

Ramiro Costa 33'
Mario Risso 45'+2'
Mauro Silveira 52'
Leonardo Pais 90'+6'

Form Data

Albion 2 - 1 Wanderers

Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio

Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers

Wanderers 0 - 0 Maldonado

Central Español 0 - 1 Wanderers

Wanderers 0 - 4 Torque

Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud

Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Racing 1 - 0 Cerro

Cerro 1 - 1 Boston River

Cerro 1 - 1 Liverpool