Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Wanderers
Mar 28, 2026 7.00pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Cerro

Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 25, 2026 5.00pm
Albion 2 - 1 Wanderers

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 25, 2026 8.00pm
Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw has a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (10.31%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 43.07% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 28.7% ▲ (+0.08)
Cerro 28.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.87% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.75% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 1.5 35.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 38.94% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 61.06% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 18.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 81.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 9.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 90.36% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 30.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 45.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Cerro 23.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 49.31% ▼ (-0.25)
No Goal 11.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Cerro 39.32% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 51.53% ▼ (-0.69)
Equal 8 11.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 36.65% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 9 40.07% ▼ (-0.68)
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 48.47% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 10.5 29.83% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 10.5 70.17% ▲ (+0.63)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 35.19% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 64.81% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 13.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 86.59% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.05)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 59.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.14% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 75.86% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 43.07%
Draw 28.7%
Cerro 28.18%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 43.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.37% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.7%
Cerro
0-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.18%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Wanderers
Sep 27, 2025 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Cerro
Jun 2, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Wanderers
  • Enzo Larrosa 14' goal
  • Enzo Larrosa 14' goal
  • Mauro Villar 53' yellowcard
  • Mauro Villar 53' yellowcard
  • Matias Ocampo 61' yellowcard
  • Matias Ocampo 61' yellowcard
  • Agustin Mulet 88' yellowcard
  • Agustin Mulet 88' yellowcard
  • Rafael Haller 90'+7' redcard
  • Rafael Haller 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Martin Suarez 7'
  • goal Martin Suarez 7'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Figueredo 53'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Figueredo 53'
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 68'
  • goal Joaquin Zeballos 68'
  • yellowcard Mauro Silveira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mauro Silveira 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Cerro
Mar 31, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Wanderers
  • Enzo Larrosa 45' goal
  • Enzo Larrosa 50' goal
  • Brian Leonel Benitez 69' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 76' yellowcard
  • Anthony Nahuel Aires Almeida 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Royon 16'
  • goal Nicolas Royon 42'
  • yellowcard Andrew Teuten 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Wanderers
Aug 16, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Cerro
  • Lucas Morales 24' goal
  • Mario Risso 38' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 73'
  • yellowcard Martin Gonzalez 82'
  • redcard Mathias Abero 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Cerro
Feb 18, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Wanderers
  • Santiago Ramirez 39' goal
  • Martin Gonzalez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Bontempo 23'
  • yellowcard Matias Fonseca 28'
  • goal Gonzalo Freitas 54'
  • yellowcard Facundo Milan 75'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Garcia 85'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Cerro
Nov 3, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Wanderers
  • Fernando Souza 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ramiro Costa 33'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mauro Silveira 52'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pais 90'+6'

Form Data

Albion 2 - 1 Wanderers
Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio
Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers
Wanderers 0 - 0 Maldonado
Central Español 0 - 1 Wanderers
Wanderers 0 - 4 Torque
Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud
Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
Racing 1 - 0 Cerro
Cerro 1 - 1 Boston River
Cerro 1 - 1 Liverpool