Mar 21, 2026 7.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Leandro Zazpe 45'+1'
Jonás Luna 46'
Jonás Luna 58'
Alan García 74'
Facundo Labandeira 80'
80'
Mateo Acosta 88'
Facundo Labandeira 88'

Mateo Peralta 24'
Ivo Costantino 68'
Joaquín Pereyra 78'
Facundo Balatti 78'
Axel Montaña 78'
88'
Enrique Femia 90'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

L
D
W
L
W
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
D
W
L
W
D

Last game

Mar 13, 2026 11.00pm

Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers

Danubio

All competitions

W
D
D
L
W
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
D
L
W
W

Last game

Mar 16, 2026 8.00pm

Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 30.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (12.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 32.94%

Draw 30.58%

Danubio 36.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

42.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 61.13%

Under 1.5 38.87%

Over 2.5 35.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 64.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 16.41% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 3.5 83.59% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 4.5 8.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 4.5 91.92% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 25.52%

Draw 47.08%

Danubio 27.4%

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 41.88%

No Goal 13.3%

Danubio 44.82%

Corners

Over 8 49.22% ▼ (-0.22)

Equal 8 11.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 39% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 9 37.99% ▼ (-0.19)

Equal 9 11.23% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 9 50.78% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 10.5 28.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 10.5 71.88% ▲ (+0.15)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 26.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 73.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 8.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 91.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 97.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 63.97% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 36.03% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 1.5 28.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 71.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 9.7% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 90.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 97.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 32.94%

Draw 30.59%

Danubio 36.43%

Montevideo Wanderers

1-0 @ 12.3%

2-1 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.13%

3-1 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 32.94%

Draw

0-0 @ 13.3%

1-1 @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 30.59%

Danubio

0-1 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.05)

1-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.66%

0-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 36.43%

Head to Head

Sep 6, 2025 7.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 16, 2025 12.45pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Sebastian Fernandez 21'
Santiago Romero 50'
Joaquin Fernandez 60'
Joaquin Fernandez 60'
Maximiliano Perg 90'+4'

Esteban Crucci 8'
Leandro Zazpe 48'
Rodrigo Rivero 65'
Christian Franco 74'

Sep 29, 2024 12.00am

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Matias Fonseca 17'
Matias Fonseca 17'
Kevin Rolon 45'+1'
Cristhian Tizon 45'+1'
Bruno Veglio 60'
Gabriel Leyes 90'
Mario Risso 90'+3'
Mario Risso 90'+3'
Christian Franco 90'+4'
Christian Franco 90'+4'
Mario Risso 90'+5'
Mario Risso 90'+5'

44'
Mario Risso 46' (OG)
Mario Risso 46' (OG)
Cristhian Tizon 45'+1'
Kevin Rolon 45'+1'
Cristhian Tizon 53'
Cristhian Tizon 53'
Matias Fracchia 84'
Matias Fracchia 84'
Santiago Romero 89'
Santiago Romero 89'
Gabriel Leyes 90'

Mar 24, 2024 7.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Emiliano Ancheta 42'
Lucas Ferreira 66'
Facundo Saravia 66'
Ignacio Pintos 82'

Matias Fonseca 10'
Mario Risso 17'
Francisco Cerro 42'
Agustin Albarracin 48'
Agustin Albarracin 49'
Gonzalo Vega 90'+3'

Mar 7, 2024 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Gonzalo Freitas 54'
Gonzalo Freitas 54'
Emiliano Garcia 71'
Emiliano Garcia 71'
Tabare Viudez 83'
Tabare Viudez 83'

Matias Fracchia 55'
Matias Fracchia 55'
Lucas Ferreira 90'+4'
Lucas Ferreira 90'+4'

Nov 29, 2023 10.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Matias Fonseca 2'
Nicolas Albarracin 24'
Ismael Garcia 30'
Matias Fonseca 78'
Martin Suarez 88'
Nicolas Ferreira 90'

Santiago Etchebarne 44'

Form Data

Nacional 2 - 0 Wanderers

Wanderers 0 - 0 Maldonado

Central Español 0 - 1 Wanderers

Wanderers 0 - 4 Torque

Cerro Largo 1 - 2 Wanderers

Wanderers 1 - 1 Defensor

Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud

Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio

Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Racing 4 - 0 Danubio

Danubio 2 - 0 Boston River

Cerro 0 - 1 Danubio