Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 7.30pm
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 7.00pm
Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 11.00pm
Defensor 1 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 34.89%. A draw has a probability of 34.31% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (16.6%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (13.43%).

Result

Cerro 30.8% (-0.17)
Draw 34.31% (+0.11)
Defensor Sporting 34.89% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.09% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 55.62% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 44.38% (+0.17)
Over 2.5 29.69% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 70.31% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 12.62% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 87.38% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 5.56% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 94.44% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Cerro 24.48% (+0.04)
Draw 51.82%
Defensor Sporting 23.7% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Cerro 41.07% (-0.05)
No Goal 16.6% (+0.09)
Defensor Sporting 42.33% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 40.06% (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.3% (-0.02)
Under 8 47.64% (+0.25)
Over 9 29.19% (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.87% (-0.05)
Under 9 59.94% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 20.34% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 79.66% (+0.15)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 22.32% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 77.68% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 6.04% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 93.96% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 1.43% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.57% (+0.04)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 61.37% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.63% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.25% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 74.75% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.84% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.16% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.95% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.05% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro 30.8%
Draw 34.3%
Defensor Sporting 34.89%
Cerro
1-0 @ 13.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.29% (-0.05)
Total : 30.8%
Draw
0-0 @ 16.6% (+0.09)
1-1 @ 13.82% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 34.3%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 14.34% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.54% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.81% (-0.03)
Total : 34.89%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 12, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 23, 2025 12.00am
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2025 10.00pm
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Alfonso Barco 17' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Barco 17' yellowcard
  • Patricio Pacifico 19' yellowcard
  • Patricio Pacifico 19' yellowcard
  • Walter Montoya 39' goal
  • Walter Montoya 39' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 45'+2' goal
  • Maxi Gomez 45'+2' goal
  • Walter Montoya 69' goal
  • Walter Montoya 69' goal
  • Walter Montoya 70' yellowcard
  • Walter Montoya 70' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83' yellowcard
  • Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
  • yellowcard Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
  • goal Enzo Larrosa 30'
  • goal Enzo Larrosa 30'
  • yellowcard Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
  • yellowcard Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 58'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 58'
  • redcard Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
  • redcard Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 77'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 77'
  • goal Facundo Silvestre 84'
  • goal Facundo Silvestre 84'
  • yellowcard Matias Ocampo 88'
  • yellowcard Matias Ocampo 88'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Sep 7, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Santiago Ramirez 6' goal
  • Alejo Macelli 68' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Dawson 5'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 62'
  • goal Walter Montoya 89'
  • yellowcard Claudio Spinelli 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambon 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
Aband. Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Octavio Rivero 18' goal
  • Octavio Rivero 22' yellowcard
  • Octavio Rivero 47' goal
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 51' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 56' goal
  • Agustin Soria 75' goal
  • redcard Alejo Macelli 49'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Nov 15, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Cristhian Tizon 10' goal
  • Emiliano Denis 39' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Alvarez 66' yellowcard
  • Luis Femia 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pintado 13'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ramirez 23'
  • goal Anderson Duarte 53'
  • yellowcard Enzo Martinez 74'
  • yellowcard Fernando Elizari 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Fernando Elizari 90'+4'