Apr 5, 2026 7.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Tiago Rijo 67'
67'
Brian Quinteros 67'
Brahian Alemán 83'
Nahuel Soria 88'
88'
Rodrigo Mederos 90'+3'

Alan Torterolo 68'
Lautaro Navarro 68'
Brian Lozano 68'
Valentín Rodríguez 68'
68'
Tiago Rijo 68'
Valentín Rodríguez 76'
Lautaro Navarro 76'
76'
Nahuel Soria 76'
Mateo Caballero 89'

Cerro vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

L
W
L
L
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
L
L
L
D

Last game

Mar 28, 2026 7.00pm

Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

D
D
W
L
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
D
W
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 31, 2026 11.00pm

Defensor 1 - 1 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 34.89%. A draw had a probability of 34.31% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.6%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 30.8% ▼ (-0.17)

Draw 34.31% ▲ (+0.11)

Defensor Sporting 34.89% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score:

38.09% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 55.62% ▼ (-0.17)

Under 1.5 44.38% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 2.5 29.69% ▼ (-0.20)

Under 2.5 70.31% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 3.5 12.62% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 3.5 87.38% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 4.5 5.56% ▼ (-0.11)

Under 4.5 94.44% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Cerro 24.48% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 51.82%

Defensor Sporting 23.7% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Cerro 41.07% ▼ (-0.05)

No Goal 16.6% ▲ (+0.09)

Defensor Sporting 42.33% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 40.06% ▼ (-0.22)

Equal 8 12.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 8 47.64% ▲ (+0.25)

Over 9 29.19% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 10.87% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 9 59.94% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 10.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.15)

Under 10.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.15)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 22.32% ▼ (-0.22)

Under 1.5 77.68% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 2.5 6.04% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 2.5 93.96% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 3.5 1.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 98.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 61.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 38.63% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 25.25% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 74.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 92.16% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 98.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro 30.8%

Draw 34.3%

Defensor Sporting 34.89%

Cerro

1-0 @ 13.43% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)

2-0 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.05)

3-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Other @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 30.8%

Draw

0-0 @ 16.6% ▲ (+0.09)

1-1 @ 13.82% ▲ (+0.06)

2-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 34.3%

Defensor Sporting

0-1 @ 14.34% ▲ (+0.08)

1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.05)

0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.03)

Total : 34.89%

Head to Head

Oct 12, 2025 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 23, 2025 12.00am

Apr 14, 2025 10.00pm

3

2

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Alfonso Barco 17'
Alfonso Barco 17'
Patricio Pacifico 19'
Patricio Pacifico 19'
Walter Montoya 39'
Walter Montoya 39'
Maxi Gomez 45'+2'
Maxi Gomez 45'+2'
Walter Montoya 69'
Walter Montoya 69'
Walter Montoya 70'
Walter Montoya 70'
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83'
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83'

Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
Enzo Larrosa 30'
Enzo Larrosa 30'
Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
Mathias Abero 58'
Mathias Abero 58'
Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
Emiliano Alvarez 77'
Emiliano Alvarez 77'
Facundo Silvestre 84'
Facundo Silvestre 84'
Matias Ocampo 88'
Matias Ocampo 88'
Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
Emiliano Alvarez 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'

Sep 7, 2024 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Santiago Ramirez 6'
Alejo Macelli 68'
Claudio Spinelli 85'

Kevin Dawson 5'
Brian Mansilla 62'
Walter Montoya 89'
Claudio Spinelli 90'+3'
Augusto Cambon 90'+3'

Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm

0

0

HT : 1 0

Aband. Estadio Luis Franzini

Octavio Rivero 18'
Octavio Rivero 22'
Octavio Rivero 47'
Guillermo De Los Santos 51'
Anderson Duarte 56'
Agustin Soria 75'

Alejo Macelli 49'

Nov 15, 2023 7.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cristhian Tizon 10'
Emiliano Denis 39'
Emiliano Alvarez 66'
Luis Femia 83'

Juan Pintado 13'
Kevin Ramirez 23'
Anderson Duarte 53'
Enzo Martinez 74'
Fernando Elizari 90'+4'
Fernando Elizari 90'+4'

Form Data

Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro

Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud

Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso

Racing 1 - 0 Cerro

Cerro 1 - 1 Boston River

Defensor 1 - 1 Albion

Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 0 - 0 Central Español

Torque 1 - 0 Defensor