Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for Albion had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 32.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (12.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.