Mar 26, 2026 7.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Ivo Costantino 72'
Facundo Balatti 81'
Enrique Femia 81'
Emiliano Figueroa 90'+1'

Facundo Castro 46'
Erico Cuello 52'
Santino Bruschi 60'
Brian Lozano 60'
Geanfranco Rodríguez 82'

Danubio vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions

L
W
D
D
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
D
D
L
W

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 7.00pm

Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

W
L
D
L
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
D
L
W
W

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 12.30am

Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.89% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Danubio 46.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 29.89%

Defensor Sporting 23.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

43.54% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.06% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 35.94% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 2.5 38.21% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 2.5 61.79% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 18.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 81.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 9.39%

Under 4.5 90.61%

First Half Winner

Danubio 32.97%

Draw 46.18%

Defensor Sporting 20.85%

Team To Score First

Danubio 52.73% ▼ (-0.03)

No Goal 11.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Defensor Sporting 35.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.03% ▲ (+0.18)

Equal 8 12.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 8 42.65% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 9 33.68% ▲ (+0.12)

Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 9 54.97% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 10.5 24.07% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 10.5 75.93% ▼ (-0.06)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 37.88% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 62.12% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 2.5 14.75% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 85.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 95.26% ▲ (+0.02)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 55.23% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 44.77% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 20.78% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 79.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 2.5 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 93.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 1.52%

Under 3.5 98.48%

Score analysis

Danubio 46.81%

Draw 29.88%

Defensor Sporting 23.31%

Danubio

1-0 @ 15.02% ▲ (+0.05)

2-0 @ 9.22%

2-1 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.44%

3-2 @ 1.57%

Other @ 4.45%

Total : 46.81%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.06% ▼ (-0.02)

0-0 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.05)

2-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 29.88%

Defensor Sporting

0-1 @ 9.09%

1-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 3.57%

1-3 @ 1.48%

0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 23.31%

Head to Head

Sep 20, 2025 12.00am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 27, 2025 5.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Luis Femia 47'
Ignacio Pintos 78'
Joaquin Fernandez 87'

Matias Abaldo 26'
Alfonso Barco 45'+1'
Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+3'

Oct 5, 2024 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Sebastian Fernandez 9'
Sebastian Fernandez 18'
Emiliano Ancheta 73'
Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+2'
Gabriel Leyes 90'+6'

Lucas Sanseviero 84'
Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+7'
Gabriel Leyes 90'+7'

Mar 30, 2024 10.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

<TBD> 4'
Anderson Duarte 38'
Agustin Soria 50'
Guillermo De Los Santos 64'
Renzo Giampaoli 67'
Agustin Soria 86'

Lucas Ferreira 41'
Mauro Goicoechea 41'
Sebastian Fernandez 44'
Lucas Sanseviero 44'
Santiago Romero 55'
Gabriel Leyes 90'
Santiago Etchebarne 90'+4'

Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Joaquin Valiente 27'
Fernando Elizari 57'
Alvaro Navarro 62'
Facundo Bernal 80'
Guillermo De Los Santos 84'

Diego Vera 17'
Kevin Lewis 34'
Sebastian Fernandez 40'
Sebastian Fernandez 47'

Jul 15, 2023 12.00am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Joaquin Valiente 9'
Joaquin Valiente 11'
Anderson Duarte 48'
Anderson Duarte 48'
Anderson Duarte 62'
Gonzalo Freitas 85'
Alvaro Navarro 90'+5'

Guillermo May 50'
Guillermo May 50'
Ribair Rodriguez 67'
Mauro Goicoechea 90'+4'

Form Data

Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio

Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud

Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio

Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Racing 4 - 0 Danubio

Danubio 2 - 0 Boston River

Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Maldonado 1 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 0 - 0 Central Español

Torque 1 - 0 Defensor

Torque 1 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 0 Cerro Largo