Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 26, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Defensor Sporting - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 7.00pm
Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 12.30am
Defensor 2 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw has a probability of 29.89% and a win for Defensor Sporting has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.08%) , while for a Defensor Sporting win it is 0-1 (9.09%).

Result

Danubio 46.79% (+0.07)
Draw 29.89% (-0.01)
Defensor Sporting 23.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.59% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.16% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 35.84% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 38.29% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 61.71% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 18.28% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 81.72% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.39% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.61% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Danubio 32.97% (+0.02)
Draw 46.18%
Defensor Sporting 20.85% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Danubio 52.75% (+0.05)
No Goal 11.79% (-0.07)
Defensor Sporting 35.46% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 44.86%
Equal 8 12.28% (-0.01)
Under 8 42.86% (+0.01)
Over 9 33.56%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 55.14%
Over 10.5 24.01% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 75.99% (-0.03)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 37.94% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 62.06% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.78% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.22% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.75% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.25% (-0.05)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 55.32% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.68% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 20.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 79.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.19% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.81% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Danubio 46.79%
Draw 29.9%
Defensor Sporting 23.32%
Danubio
1-0 @ 14.97% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.22% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.88% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.04)
Total : 46.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.08% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.79% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 29.9%
Defensor Sporting
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.53% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Total : 23.32%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 20, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 27, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Luis Femia 47' goal
  • Ignacio Pintos 78' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 87' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Abaldo 26'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Barco 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Xavier Biscayzacu Vazquez 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Sebastian Fernandez 9' goal
  • Sebastian Fernandez 18' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Ancheta 73' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Leyes 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanseviero 84'
  • goal Guillermo De Los Santos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'+7'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 30, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • <TBD> 4' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 38' redcard
  • Agustin Soria 50' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 64' goal
  • Renzo Giampaoli 67' yellowcard
  • Agustin Soria 86' redcard
  • redcard Lucas Ferreira 41'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 41'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Fernandez 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanseviero 44'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 55'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Leyes 90'
  • yellowcard Santiago Etchebarne 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Joaquin Valiente 27' yellowcard
  • Fernando Elizari 57' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Navarro 62' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bernal 80' yellowcard
  • Guillermo De Los Santos 84' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Vera 17'
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 34'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Fernandez 40'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 47'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 15, 2023 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Joaquin Valiente 9' goal
  • Joaquin Valiente 11' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 48' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 48' goal
  • Anderson Duarte 62' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Freitas 85' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Navarro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Guillermo May 50'
  • goal Guillermo May 50'
  • yellowcard Ribair Rodriguez 67'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 90'+4'