Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Cerro Largo
Apr 11, 2026 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro
  • Lucas Correa 12' goal
  • Maximiliano Añasco 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Assís  70' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Assís  79' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Viera 80' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Añasco 80' yellowcard
  • 89' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Federico Sellecchia 90' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Bertocchi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Federico Sellecchia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos 45'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos 46'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rijo 68'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos 77'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambón 77'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambón 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Iván Valenzuela 89'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 90'
  • yellowcard Iván Valenzuela 90'
  • goal Alejo Macelli  90'+1'

Cerro Largo vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 2.00pm
Albion 2 - 2 Cerro Largo

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 7.30pm
Cerro 1 - 0 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.16% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Largo 47.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 28.16%
Cerro 24.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 40.9%
Under 2.5 59.1%
Over 3.5 19.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.03% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 33.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 45.22%
Cerro 21.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 52.82% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.66%
Cerro 36.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 40.97% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 35.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 53.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 25.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 74.29% ▼ (-0.07)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 39.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.75%
Under 3.5 95.25%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 57.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 22.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 77.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 6.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 47.66%
Draw 28.16%
Cerro 24.18%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 47.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.16%
Cerro
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.18%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Cerro
Sep 7, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Cerro
Jun 19, 2025 2.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Cerro Largo
  • Emiliano Alvarez 21' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 32' goal
  • Sebastian Caceres 77' yellowcard
  • Maximo Alonso 89' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 37'
  • yellowcard Matias Mir 39'
  • goal Mauricio Affonso 66'
  • yellowcard Julian Contrera 66'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Cerro Largo
Mar 17, 2025 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro
  • Facundo Peraza 44' yellowcard
  • Facundo Peraza 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvestre 61'
  • yellowcard Federico Ezequiel Acosta Fasini 88'
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvestre 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
Sep 28, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro
  • Sebastian Sosa 4' goal
  • Brian Ferrares 45' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo German Cordoba 45'+2' goal
  • Nicolas Wunsch 84' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Sosa 90'+5' goal
  • goal Martin Rabunal 43'
  • yellowcard Alejo Macelli 50'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Cerro
Jul 14, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Cerro Largo
  • Santiago Ramirez 57' yellowcard
  • Martin Gonzalez 58' yellowcard
  • Alejo Macelli 71' yellowcard
  • Mathias Abero 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 8'
  • yellowcard Alan Garcia 29'
  • yellowcard Brian Ferrares 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Cerro
Mar 24, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
Cerro Largo
  • Bruno Scorza 49' goal
  • Mathias Abero 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Hugo Silveira 1'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 50'
  • yellowcard Brian Ferrares 56'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Assis 74'
  • yellowcard Lucas Correa 82'

Form Data

Albion 2 - 2 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Danubio
Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado
Central Español 1 - 3 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Torque
Cerro 1 - 0 Defensor
Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro
Cerro 1 - 0 Juventud
Penarol 3 - 1 Cerro
Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
Racing 1 - 0 Cerro