Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 11.30pm
Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 26, 2026 7.00pm
Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Danubio has a probability of 33.68% and a draw has a probability of 30.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Danubio win is 0-1 (11.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Cerro Largo 36.05% (-0.06)
Draw 30.27%
Danubio 33.68% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.12% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 35.88% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 38.19%
Under 2.5 61.81%
Over 3.5 18.62%
Under 3.5 81.38%
Over 4.5 9.29%
Under 4.5 90.71%

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 26.18%
Draw 47.8%
Danubio 26.02%

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 42.08%
No Goal 11.82%
Danubio 46.1%

Corners

Over 8 45.33% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.24% (+0.01)
Under 8 42.43% (-0.05)
Over 9 34.02% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.31% (+0.01)
Under 9 54.67% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 24.42% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 75.58% (-0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 30.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.59% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.41% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.95% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.05% (+0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.75% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.48% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.52% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.36% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.7% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.3% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 36.06%
Draw 30.27%
Danubio 33.69%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.81% (-0.01)
Total : 36.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 11.82%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 30.27%
Danubio
0-1 @ 11.94% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.56% (+0.02)
Total : 33.69%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Mar 6, 2025 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Mauricio Affonso 20' goal
  • Mauro Brasil 45' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Affonso 45'+6' goal
  • Federico Medina 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanseviero 39'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa 45'
  • goal Evelio Ramon Cardozo 49'
  • goal Sebastian Fernandez 86'
  • yellowcard Mateo Arguello 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Romero 90'+4'
  • redcard Emiliano Velazquez 90'+10'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 15, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Ignacio Pintos 2' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 19' yellowcard
  • Renzo Rabino 58' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Bonifazi 11'
  • yellowcard Mauro Alfonso 41'
  • redcard Mauro Alfonso 49'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Olivera 76'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Renzo Rabino 19' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Sosa 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 18'
  • yellowcard Lucas Sanseviero 24'
  • redcard Nicolas Blandi 39'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fratta 45'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 9, 2024 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
  • Nahuel Furtado 25' yellowcard
  • Axel Prado 28' yellowcard
  • Lucas Correa 51' goal
  • Nahuel Furtado 83' redcard
  • Mauro Brasil 85' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 90'+7' goal
  • redcard Facundo Silvestre 30'
  • goal Lucas Ferreira 34'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Pintos 49'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 57'
  • goal Gabriel Leyes 86'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Nicolas Rossi 14' goal
  • Nicolas Rossi 14' goal
  • Kevin Lewis 19' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Pintos 29' yellowcard
  • Richard Nunez 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauro Estol 37'
  • goal Luciano Cosentino 51'
  • yellowcard Enzo Castillo 52'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Kevin Lewis 15' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Bueno 25' goal
  • Gonzalo Bueno 56' goal
  • Nicolas Rossi 58' yellowcard
  • Francisco Martinicorena 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Furtado 31'
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 88'