Mar 31, 2026 12.30am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Santiago Marcel 39'
Nicolás Bertocchi 63'
Mateo Monserrat 70'
Bruno Hernández 88'
Nicolás Ramos 88'
Tiziano Correa 90'

Enzo Cabrera 33'
Joaquín Pereyra 46'
Joaquín Pereyra 48'
Maicol Ferreira 66'
Diego Píriz 85'
Enrique Femia 86'

Cerro Largo vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

L
W
W
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 24, 2026 11.30pm

Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Danubio

All competitions

D
L
W
D
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
L
W
D
D
L

Last game

Mar 26, 2026 7.00pm

Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 30.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (11.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Cerro Largo 36.1% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 30.27%

Danubio 33.63% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score:

45.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.08% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 35.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 38.14% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 61.86% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 18.62%

Under 3.5 81.38%

Over 4.5 9.29%

Under 4.5 90.71%

First Half Winner

Cerro Largo 26.23% ▲ (+0.06)

Draw 47.82% ▲ (+0.03)

Danubio 25.95% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Cerro Largo 42.08%

No Goal 11.83% ▲ (+0.01)

Danubio 46.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 45.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 8 12.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 8 42.4% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 9 34.08% ▲ (+0.06)

Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 9 54.63% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 10.5 24.48% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 10.5 75.52% ▼ (-0.07)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 1.5 30.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 69.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 10.6% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 89.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 97.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 64.18% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 35.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 1.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 1.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 9.31% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 2.5 90.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 97.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 36.11%

Draw 30.27%

Danubio 33.63%

Cerro Largo

1-0 @ 12.16% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 2.75%

3-0 @ 2.5%

3-2 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 36.11%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.42%

0-0 @ 11.83% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.2%

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 30.27%

Danubio

0-1 @ 11.94%

1-2 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 6%

1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)

0-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 1.39%

Other @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 33.63%

Head to Head

Mar 6, 2025 10.00pm

2

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Mauricio Affonso 20'
Mauro Brasil 45'
Mauricio Affonso 45'+6'
Federico Medina 67'

Lucas Sanseviero 39'
Leandro Sosa 45'
Evelio Ramon Cardozo 49'
Sebastian Fernandez 86'
Mateo Arguello 90'+2'
Santiago Romero 90'+4'
Emiliano Velazquez 90'+10'

Feb 15, 2025 8.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Ignacio Pintos 2'
Emiliano Velazquez 19'
Renzo Rabino 58'
Leandro Sosa 86'

Facundo Bonifazi 11'
Mauro Alfonso 41'
Mauro Alfonso 49'
Ezequiel Olivera 76'

Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Renzo Rabino 19'
Sebastian Sosa 45'+1'

Matias Fracchia 18'
Lucas Sanseviero 24'
Nicolas Blandi 39'
Guillermo Fratta 45'+1'

Jun 9, 2024 4.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Nahuel Furtado 25'
Axel Prado 28'
Lucas Correa 51'
Nahuel Furtado 83'
Mauro Brasil 85'
Mauro Brasil 90'+7'

Facundo Silvestre 30'
Lucas Ferreira 34'
Ignacio Pintos 49'
Lucas Ferreira 57'
Gabriel Leyes 86'

Apr 20, 2024 2.00pm

1

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Nicolas Rossi 14'
Nicolas Rossi 14'
Kevin Lewis 19'
Ignacio Pintos 29'
Richard Nunez 87'

Mauro Estol 37'
Luciano Cosentino 51'
Enzo Castillo 52'

Sep 2, 2023 4.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo

Kevin Lewis 15'
Gonzalo Bueno 25'
Gonzalo Bueno 56'
Nicolas Rossi 58'
Francisco Martinicorena 76'

Nahuel Furtado 31'
Martin Gianoli 88'

Form Data

Nacional 3 - 0 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 3 - 1 Maldonado

Central Español 1 - 3 Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Torque

Liverpool 2 - 0 Cerro Largo

Defensor 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

Danubio 0 - 0 Defensor

Wanderers 2 - 1 Danubio

Danubio 4 - 1 Juventud

Penarol 1 - 1 Danubio

Danubio 2 - 2 Progreso

Racing 4 - 0 Danubio