Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
4
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Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result
Independiente Medellin
29.12%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
28.72%
▲
(+0.17)
Flamengo
42.16%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
44.62%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 1.5
66.76%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
33.24%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 2.5
41.3%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
58.7%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 3.5
20.2%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
79.8%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
10.46%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
89.54%
▲
(+0.15)
First Half Winner
Independiente Medellin
26.44%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
44.98%
▼
(-0.05)
Flamengo
28.59%
▲
(+0.17)
Team To Score First
Independiente Medellin
43.01%
▼
(-0.25)
No Goal
10.67%
▲
(+0.14)
Flamengo
46.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Corners
Over 8
53.72%
▲
(+1.34)
Equal 8
11.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
34.35%
▼
(-1.34)
Over 9
41.96%
▲
(+1.22)
Equal 9
11.76%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 9
46.28%
▼
(-1.34)
Over 10.5
31.33%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 10.5
68.67%
▼
(-1.02)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 1.5
26.58%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
73.42%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 2.5
8.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
91.33%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
2.38%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
97.62%
▲
(+0.05)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
70.3%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
29.7%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
35.85%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
64.15%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
14.05%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
85.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
4.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
95.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Independiente Medellin
29.13%
Draw
28.71%
Flamengo
42.16%
Independiente Medellin
1-0
@
9.81%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.13%
2-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.13%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.71%
0-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.71%
Flamengo
0-1
@
12.76%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.16%
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 42.16%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
2
-
Lucas Paquetá
15'
-
Bruno Henrique
45'
-
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
49'
-
Gonzalo Plata
63'
-
Luiz Araújo
63'
-
Pedro
77'
-
Nicolás de la Cruz
77'
-
Wallace Yan
83'
-
Pedro
90'+6'
-
Yony González
40'
-
Baldomero Perlaza
68'
-
Hayen Palacios
68'
-
Halam Loboa
68'
-
Daniel Cataño
68'
-
John Edwin Montaño
68'
-
Diego Moreno
86'