Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.54% and a win for Real Garcilaso has a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Real Garcilaso win it is 0-1 (7.04%).