Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
3
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-
Didier Moreno
46'
-
John Edwin Montaño
63'
-
John Edwin Montaño
64'
-
Hayen Palacios
64'
-
Baldomero Perlaza
70'
-
Francisco Fydriszewski
87'
-
Leyser Chaverra
90'+1'
-
Carlos Diez
56'
-
José Bolívar
78'
-
Iván Colman
90'+1'
-
90'+1'
-
Juan Tévez
90'+1'
Independiente Medellin vs Real Garcilaso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.57% and a win for Real Garcilaso had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%) , while for a Real Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood.
Result
Independiente Medellin
55.32%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
25.57%
▲
(+0.04)
Real Garcilaso
19.12%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
42.55%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 1.5
68.48%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
31.52%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
43.25%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
56.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
22.26%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
77.74%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
13.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
86.93%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Independiente Medellin
48.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
35.78%
▲
(+0.03)
Real Garcilaso
15.51%
▲
(+0.07)
Team To Score First
Independiente Medellin
63.24%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
9.81%
▼
(-0.03)
Real Garcilaso
26.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
50.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Equal 8
11.43%
Under 8
37.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 9
39.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
49.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 10.5
29.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 10.5
70.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 1.5
46.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
53.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
21.15%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
78.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
8.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
91.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Real Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5
50.09%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
49.91%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
18.32%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
81.68%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 2.5
5.28%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
94.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
1.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
98.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Independiente Medellin
55.31%
Draw
25.57%
Real Garcilaso
19.11%
Independiente Medellin
1-0
@
14.68%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.27%
Total : 55.31%
2-0 @ 11.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.27%
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1
@
11.25%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.57%
0-0 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.57%
Real Garcilaso
0-1
@
7.02%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.11%
1-2 @ 4.9% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 19.11%