Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.99%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.