Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 4, 2026 12.30am
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Corinthians 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Matheus Bidu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 33.13% and a draw has a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 0-1 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.2%).

Result

Mirassol 39.09% (+0.15)
Draw 27.81%
Corinthians 33.13% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.24% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 45.33% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 54.67% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 23.66% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 76.34% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.54% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.46% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 34.19% (-0.03)
Draw 45.18%
Corinthians 20.62% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 52.98% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.73% (-0.02)
Corinthians 38.29% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.73% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 25.9% (-0.07)
Over 9 50.64% (+0.07)
Equal 9 12.1% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.27% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 38.92% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 61.08% (-0.04)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 35.73% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 64.27% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 13.32% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 86.68% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.01% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.99% (-0.04)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 66.19% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.81% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.86% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.14% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.38% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 39.08%
Draw 27.81%
Corinthians 33.14%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.29% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 3.86% (+0.03)
Total : 39.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.81%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.47% (-0.03)
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 1.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Joao Victor Carroll Santana 34' yellowcard
  • Neto Moura 43' yellowcard
  • Orlando Goncalves Dias Neto 43' yellowcard
  • Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 50' goal
  • Gabriel 65' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 40'
  • yellowcard Raniele 46'
  • goal Caca 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Angileri 75'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 83'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 90'+2'