Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 4, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Carlos Eduardo 23' yellowcard
  • Edson Carioca 33' goal
  • Antonio Galeano 62' yellowcard
  • Yuri Lara 62' yellowcard
  • André Luis 71' yellowcard
  • Eduardo  86' yellowcard
  • Rodrigues 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaio César 62'
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 74'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Labyad 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Raul 74'
  • goal Dieguinho 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 81'

Mirassol vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
Corinthians 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Matheus Bidu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 39.22% (+0.13)
Draw 27.71% (-0.10)
Corinthians 33.07% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.07% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.92% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 29.08% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 45.53% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 54.47% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 23.86% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 76.14% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 12.7% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.3% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 34.19%
Draw 45.18%
Corinthians 20.62%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 53.03% (+0.06)
No Goal 8.65% (-0.09)
Corinthians 38.32% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.73%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 25.9%
Over 9 50.64%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 37.27%
Over 10.5 38.92%
Under 10.5 61.08%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 35.94% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 64.06% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 13.47% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 86.53% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 4.08% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 95.92% (-0.07)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.82% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.93% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 68.07% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.06% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.94% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.65% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.35% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Mirassol 39.22%
Draw 27.72%
Corinthians 33.07%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.93% (+0.08)
Total : 39.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.72%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.5% (+0.03)
Total : 33.07%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 1.00am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 10, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Maria de Campos Maia
  • Joao Victor Carroll Santana 34' yellowcard
  • Neto Moura 43' yellowcard
  • Orlando Goncalves Dias Neto 43' yellowcard
  • Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos 50' goal
  • Gabriel 65' goal
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 40'
  • yellowcard Raniele 46'
  • goal Caca 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Angileri 75'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 83'
  • yellowcard Hugo Souza 90'+2'