Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.