Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Barra FC had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.07%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Barra FC win was 1-0 (12.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.