Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barra FC win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barra FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.