Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
May 1, 2026 1.00am
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 1.30am
Corinthians 2 - 0 Santa Fe

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Penarol 1 - 2 Platense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Penarol win is 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).

Result

Corinthians 41.82%
Draw 27.58% (-0.04)
Penarol 30.6% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.67% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.2% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 32.8% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 41.19% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 58.81% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 20.64% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 79.32% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 10.81% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.19% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 25.47%
Draw 46.96%
Penarol 27.57%

Team To Score First

Corinthians 46.31% (+0.03)
No Goal 10.02% (-0.05)
Penarol 43.67% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.55%
Equal 8 11.92%
Under 8 34.52%
Over 9 41.8%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 46.45%
Over 10.5 31.18%
Under 10.5 68.82%

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 35.7% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.3% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.03)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 61.52% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.48% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 26.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 73.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.79%
Under 2.5 91.21%
Over 3.5 2.51%
Under 3.5 97.49%

Score analysis

Corinthians 41.82%
Draw 27.57%
Penarol 30.59%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.43% (+0.03)
Total : 41.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 27.57%
Penarol
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.37% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.43% (+0.02)
Total : 30.59%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
May 14, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Agustin Alvarez 5' goal
  • Agustin Alvarez 14' goal
  • Agustin Canobbio 53' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 57' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 65' yellowcard
  • Agustin Alvarez 69' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio Santos 9'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jo 49'
Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2021 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Fabio Santos 19' yellowcard
  • Gil 25' yellowcard
  • Victor Cantillo 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 64' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 64' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Gonzalez 13'
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 35'
  • goal David Terans 56'
  • yellowcard Gary Kagelmacher 80'