Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Penarol win is 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.73%).