Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Platense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 3.00am
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Penarol

Platense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 1.00am
Platense 0 - 2 Corinthians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw has a probability of 28.66% and a win for Platense has a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.84%) , while for a Platense win it is 0-1 (9.2%).

Result

Penarol 50.11%
Draw 28.66%
Platense 21.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.17%
Under 1.5 37.83%
Over 2.5 35.11%
Under 2.5 64.89%
Over 3.5 16.25%
Under 3.5 83.75%
Over 4.5 8.13%
Under 4.5 91.87%

First Half Winner

Penarol 37.38%
Draw 44.94%
Platense 17.68%

Team To Score First

Penarol 58.63%
No Goal 12.31%
Platense 29.06%

Corners

Over 8 39.89%
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 48.29%
Over 9 29.48%
Equal 9 10.42%
Under 9 60.11%
Over 10.5 20.99%
Under 10.5 79.01%

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 38.12%
Under 1.5 61.88%
Over 2.5 14.79%
Under 2.5 85.21%
Over 3.5 4.61%
Under 3.5 95.39%

Platense Goals

Over 0.5 51.48%
Under 0.5 48.52%
Over 1.5 17.09%
Under 1.5 82.91%
Over 2.5 4.06%
Under 2.5 95.94%
Over 3.5 0.84%
Under 3.5 99.16%

Score analysis

Penarol 50.12%
Draw 28.66%
Platense 21.23%
Penarol
1-0 @ 16.33%
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 50.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 12.31%
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.66%
Platense
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 4.83%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.23%