Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Leandro Umpiérrez 46' yellowcard
  • Matías Arezo 58' goal
  • Abel Hernández  74' yellowcard
  • Franco González 84' yellowcard
  • goal Guido Mainero 22'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 63'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Lencina 67'
  • yellowcard Franco Zapiola 67'
  • yellowcard Santiago Dalmasso 67'
  • yellowcard Agustín Lagos 75'
  • yellowcard Iván Gómez 84'
  • yellowcard Adan Ingenthron 84'

Penarol vs Platense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 3.00am
Santa Fe 1 - 1 Penarol

Platense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 1.00am
Platense 0 - 2 Corinthians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.68% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%) , while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 48.93% (-0.11)
Draw 28.68% (+0.04)
Platense 22.39% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.86% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 37.14% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 36%
Under 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 16.91% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.09% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.46% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.54% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Penarol 36.29%
Draw 45.21%
Platense 18.5%

Team To Score First

Penarol 56.61% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.04% (+0.01)
Platense 31.35% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 41.23% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 46.98% (-0.04)
Over 9 30.7% (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.54% (+0.01)
Under 9 58.77% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 22% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 78% (-0.02)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 37.95% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 62.05% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 14.75% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.61% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.39% (+0.02)

Platense Goals

Over 0.5 53% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 47% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 18.37% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 81.63% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.64% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.36% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.97%
Under 3.5 99.03%

Score analysis

Penarol 48.94%
Draw 28.68%
Platense 22.39%
Penarol
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 4.58% (-0.04)
Total : 48.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 28.68%
Platense
0-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.1% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.94% (-0.02)
Total : 22.39%