Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Campeón del Siglo
  • Franco Escobar 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernández  46' yellowcard
  • Eric Remedi 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Angulo 58' yellowcard
  • goal Rubén Bentancourt 5'
  • goal Martín Rabuñal  41'
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 60'
  • yellowcard Diego Romero 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 67'
  • yellowcard Lucas Acosta 68'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Nicolas de Mello Cartagena 79'
  • yellowcard Matías Mir 79'

Penarol vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 11.00pm
Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 10.30pm
Liverpool 0 - 2 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.71% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.59%) , while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

Penarol 44.06% (-0.40)
Draw 28.71% (+0.22)
Liverpool 27.23% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.14% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.51% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 32.49% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 41.06% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 58.94% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 19.88% (-0.68)
Under 3.5 80.12% (+0.68)
Over 4.5 9.75% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 90.25% (+0.40)

First Half Winner

Penarol 33% (-0.01)
Draw 44% (-0.01)
Liverpool 23% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Penarol 52.31% (-0.23)
No Goal 9.92% (+0.25)
Liverpool 37.77% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.77% (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.24% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.99% (+0.03)
Over 9 39.87% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 48.23% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 29.27% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.73% (+0.03)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 37.51% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 62.49% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 13.84% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 86.16% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 4.06% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 95.94% (+0.21)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 60.99%
Under 0.5 39.01%
Over 1.5 24.91% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 75.09% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 7.52% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 92.48% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 1.8% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.2% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Penarol 44.07%
Draw 28.72%
Liverpool 27.24%
Penarol
1-0 @ 13.18% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.44% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.99% (-0.21)
Total : 44.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.59% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 9.92% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 28.72%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 9.42% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.49% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.73% (-0.05)
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 13, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 73' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 80' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernandez 27'
  • goal Abel Hernandez 59'
  • goal Hugo Quintana 63'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Damian Suarez 37' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 40' goal
  • Damian Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 63' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 88' goal
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Amaro 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Christian Tabo 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 73'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Kevin Amaro 10' goal
  • Jean Rosso 16' goal
  • Enzo Martinez 27' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Alfaro 42' yellowcard
  • Diego Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Matias Ocampo 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 75' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 90'+1' redcard
  • Pedro Milans 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 8'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 31'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Milans 90'+5'
  • redcard Kevin Amaro 94'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Dec 16, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 51' yellowcard
  • Matias Arezo 54' yellowcard
  • Camilo Mayada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernandez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 25'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 43'
  • yellowcard Miguel Samudio 52'
  • yellowcard Martin Barrios 66'