Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 11.00pm
Progreso 0 - 2 Penarol

Liverpool

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 10.30pm
Liverpool 0 - 2 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw has a probability of 28.5% and a win for Liverpool has a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.49%) , while for a Liverpool win it is 0-1 (9.22%).

Result

Penarol 44.46% (+0.06)
Draw 28.5% (+0.02)
Liverpool 27.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.04% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 31.96% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 41.68%
Under 2.5 58.32% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 20.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.45%
Over 4.5 10.14% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.86% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Penarol 33.01%
Draw 44.01%
Liverpool 22.98%

Team To Score First

Penarol 52.54%
No Goal 9.67%
Liverpool 37.79%

Corners

Over 8 51.79% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.23% (-0.02)
Under 8 35.97% (+0.12)
Over 9 39.89% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.21% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.29% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 70.71% (+0.06)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 38.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.66% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.27%
Under 3.5 95.73%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 60.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.89% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.59% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.41% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Penarol 44.45%
Draw 28.5%
Liverpool 27.03%
Penarol
1-0 @ 13.05% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.44% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 44.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 28.5%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Total : 27.03%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 13, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 30' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Perez 73' yellowcard
  • Jaime Baez 80' yellowcard
  • goal Abel Hernandez 27'
  • goal Abel Hernandez 59'
  • goal Hugo Quintana 63'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 67'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Damian Suarez 37' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Fernandez 40' goal
  • Damian Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 63' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Darias 88' goal
  • yellowcard Renzo Machado 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Amaro 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Christian Tabo 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Wasilewsky 73'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Kevin Amaro 10' goal
  • Jean Rosso 16' goal
  • Enzo Martinez 27' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Alfaro 42' yellowcard
  • Diego Garcia 67' yellowcard
  • Matias Ocampo 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 75' yellowcard
  • Kevin Amaro 90'+1' redcard
  • Pedro Milans 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leonardo Sequeira 8'
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 20'
  • yellowcard Damian Garcia 31'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 60'
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Milans 90'+5'
  • redcard Kevin Amaro 94'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Dec 16, 2023 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Hernandez 51' yellowcard
  • Matias Arezo 54' yellowcard
  • Camilo Mayada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernandez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Bentancourt 25'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 43'
  • yellowcard Miguel Samudio 52'
  • yellowcard Martin Barrios 66'