Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.13% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.55%) , while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.