Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Central Español win was 1-0 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.