Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 31, 2026 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Luis Méndez Piana
  • Lucas Pino 17' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Rodríguez 40' goal
  • Raúl Tarragona 65' yellowcard
  • Sander Navarro 75' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Muniz 78' yellowcard
  • Facundo Sosa 78' yellowcard
  • goal Renato César 41'
  • yellowcard Guillermo López 82'
  • yellowcard Elías de León 90'
  • yellowcard Hernán Petryk 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Noble 90'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Fuica 90'+7'

Central Español vs Deportivo Maldonado - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Español

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 3 Central Español

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 5.00pm
Maldonado 1 - 0 Torque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Central Español had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Central Español win was 1-0 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Central Español 31.49% (-0.11)
Draw 29.39%
Deportivo Maldonado 39.08% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.13% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.52% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 34.48% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 39.45% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 60.55% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 19.24% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 80.76% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 9.6% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 90.4% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Central Español 25.51%
Draw 47.4%
Deportivo Maldonado 27.09%

Team To Score First

Central Español 42.65%
No Goal 11.03%
Deportivo Maldonado 46.32%

Corners

Over 8 51.06% (+0.22)
Equal 8 12.26% (+0.03)
Under 8 36.68% (-0.25)
Over 9 39.21% (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.04)
Under 9 48.94% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 28.71% (+0.14)
Under 10.5 71.29% (-0.13)

Central Español Goals

Over 1.5 27.38% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 72.62% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 8.58% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 91.42% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.04)

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 68.23%
Under 0.5 31.77%
Over 1.5 32.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Central Español 31.49%
Draw 29.39%
Deportivo Maldonado 39.07%
Central Español
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Total : 31.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 29.39%
Deportivo Maldonado
0-1 @ 12.54% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 7.08% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.49% (-0.01)
Total : 39.07%