Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 38.07%. A draw had a probability of 31.53% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 30.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.