Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Ezequiel Muñoz 45'+1' goal
  • Julián Ceballos 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sabatini 55' yellowcard
  • Valentino Simoni 67' yellowcard
  • Agustín Módica 81' goal
  • Santiago Rodríguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ismael Cortez 84' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 90'+1' goal
  • goal Florián Monzón 3'
  • goal Manuel Lanzini 11'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 51'
  • yellowcard Matías Arias 61'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 89'
  • yellowcard Dilan Godoy 90'

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.45pm
Newell's OB 1 - 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 6.30pm
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Lanus
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.16%. A draw had a probability of 31.19% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 28.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.73%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 1-0 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.65% (+0.03)
Draw 31.19% (-0.03)
Velez Sarsfield 40.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.64% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.92% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 40.08% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 32.58% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 67.42% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 14.66% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 85.34% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 6.89% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 93.11% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 27.86%
Draw 47.81%
Velez Sarsfield 24.33%

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 44.84% (+0.04)
No Goal 13.72% (-0.04)
Velez Sarsfield 41.44% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.22% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.86% (+0.12)
Over 9 40.02% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.08% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.41% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.59% (+0.07)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 21.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 78.24% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% (-0.01)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 66.1% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.9% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.36% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.64% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.63% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.65%
Draw 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield 40.17%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.62%
3-0 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Total : 28.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73%
0-0 @ 13.72% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 14.4% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Total : 40.17%