Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.45pm
Newell's OB 1 - 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 6.30pm
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 1 Lanus
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 40.16%. A draw has a probability of 31.19% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza has a probability of 28.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-2 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.73%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it is 1-0 (11.98%).

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.65% (+0.03)
Draw 31.19% (-0.03)
Velez Sarsfield 40.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.64% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.92% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 40.08% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 32.58% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 67.42% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 14.66% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 85.34% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 6.89% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 93.11% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 27.86%
Draw 47.81%
Velez Sarsfield 24.33%

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 44.84% (+0.04)
No Goal 13.72% (-0.04)
Velez Sarsfield 41.44% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (-0.11)
Equal 8 12.22% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.86% (+0.12)
Over 9 40.02% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 9 48.08% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 29.41% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.59% (+0.07)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 21.76% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 78.24% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 5.56% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 94.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% (-0.01)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 66.1% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.9% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.36% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.64% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.63% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.65%
Draw 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield 40.17%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.62%
3-0 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Total : 28.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73%
0-0 @ 13.72% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 14.4% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.05% (+0.01)
Total : 40.17%