Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a draw had a probability of 34.08%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 33.44% and a win for Platense had a probability of 32.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a draw was 0-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-1 (13.94%) and 2-2 (2.88%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (14.74%) , while for a Platense win it was 1-0 (14.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.