Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 26, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
  • Facundo Labandeira 58' goal
  • Gonzalo Freitas 70' yellowcard
  • Alan García 79' yellowcard
  • Roque Ricca Gayol 79' yellowcard
  • Mateo Acosta 85' yellowcard
  • Santiago Guzmán 85' yellowcard
  • Mateo Acosta 86' yellowcard
  • Santiago Guzmán 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco González 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernández 59'
  • yellowcard Stiven Muhlethaler 59'
  • yellowcard Facundo Batista 70'

Montevideo Wanderers vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.00pm
Progreso 2 - 1 Wanderers

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 12.30am
Penarol 2 - 2 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.31%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 13.87% (+0.06)
Draw 23.01% (-0.06)
Penarol 63.11% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.91% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.89% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.11% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 43.84% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 56.16% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 22.81% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.19% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.53% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.47% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 13.87% (+0.01)
Draw 42.23% (+0.03)
Penarol 43.9% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 24.46% (-0.13)
No Goal 9.32% (-0.02)
Penarol 66.22% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 49.75% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.25% (+0.03)
Over 9 38.28% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 9 50.25% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.19% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 71.81% (+0.08)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 13.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.75% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 2.22% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 97.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.32%
Under 3.5 99.68%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 81.57% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 18.43% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 52.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.73% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.27% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.27% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.73% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 13.88%
Draw 23.02%
Penarol 63.12%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.11% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 3.42%
2-0 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 13.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.02%
Penarol
0-1 @ 14.7% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 13.31% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.26% (+0.03)
Total : 63.12%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 19, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 22, 2025 9.30pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2025 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Bruno Veglio 19' goal
  • Esteban Crucci 37' yellowcard
  • Francisco Cerro 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Rodriguez Sevilla 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Rodriguez Sevilla 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Maximiliano Silvera 31'
  • redcard Jaime Baez 51'
  • goal Hector Villalba 85'
  • yellowcard Leandro Nicolas Umpierrez Hernandez 89'
  • yellowcard Leandro Nicolas Umpierrez Hernandez 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Kevin Rolon 4' yellowcard
  • Mateo Alejandro Acosta Fernandez 17' yellowcard
  • Mauro Silveira 17' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 34' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Garcia 39' redcard
  • Paulo Lima 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Batista 10'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 18'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Perez 25'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 8, 2024 9.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Lucas Morales 16' goal
  • Kevin Rolon 50' goal
  • Kevin Rolon 50' yellowcard
  • Leandro Otormin 80' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Freitas 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guzman Rodriguez 19'
  • yellowcard Leo Coelho 28'
  • redcard Maximiliano Olivera 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
May 11, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Leonardo Fernandez 79' goal
  • Leonardo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Acosta 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Bontempo 19'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rolon 31'
  • yellowcard Jose Alberti 78'
  • yellowcard Lucas Morales 90'+9'