Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.13% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.