Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 10.30pm
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Montevideo Wanderers vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 9.00pm
Boston River 4 - 1 Wanderers

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 2.00pm
Racing 2 - 1 Juventud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.99%. A draw has a probability of 29.15% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers has a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.38%) , while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it is 1-0 (9.76%).

Result

Montevideo Wanderers 26.86% (+0.01)
Draw 29.15% (-0.02)
Racing de Montevideo 43.99%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.81% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 40.13%
Under 2.5 59.87%
Over 3.5 19.4% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 80.6% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.59% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.41% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Montevideo Wanderers 23.16%
Draw 45.79%
Racing de Montevideo 31.05%

Team To Score First

Montevideo Wanderers 36.4%
No Goal 10.75%
Racing de Montevideo 52.85%

Corners

Over 8 57.96% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 8 30.44% (-0.05)
Over 9 46.13% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.03% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 35.06% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.94% (-0.05)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 23.96%
Under 1.5 76.04%
Over 2.5 6.83% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.55% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.45% (-0.01)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 71.97% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.03% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.96% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.04% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.16% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.84% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 26.85%
Draw 29.16%
Racing de Montevideo 43.98%
Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Total : 26.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.38% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.32% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 29.16%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 13.29% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Total : 43.98%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa Sudamericana
Mar 5, 2025 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Jose Varela 31' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Cotugno 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Teuten 69'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 3, 2025 12.45am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • Leandro Zazpe 57' yellowcard
  • Leandro Zazpe 57' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 90' yellowcard
  • Leandro Zazpe 90'+3' redcard
  • Leandro Zazpe 90'+3' redcard
  • Leandro Zazpe 90'+3' redcard
  • Leandro Zazpe 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 24'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 24'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 45'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 45'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 60'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Vazquez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alex Vazquez 90'+2'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Sep 7, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • goal Lucas Morales 13'
  • yellowcard Mario Risso 90'+2'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 20, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Gaston Bueno 32' yellowcard
  • Thiago Espinosa 48' yellowcard
  • Juan Rivero 56' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Teliz Cuello 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 72' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pereira 78' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Santiago Guzman 22'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 23, 2024 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
  • <TBD> 22' goal
  • Leonel Bontempo 38' yellowcard
  • Mario Risso 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 63'
  • goal Tomas Veron 84'
  • yellowcard Tomas Veron 89'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Sosa 90'+3'