Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (10.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.