Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Apr 21, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol vs Juventud - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 12.00am
Penarol 0 - 2 Liverpool

Juventud

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 7.30pm
Juventud 1 - 0 Progreso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw has a probability of 24.08% and a win for Juventud has a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Juventud win it is 0-1 (7.25%).

Result

Penarol 56.97% (+3.04)
Draw 24.08% (-1.93)
Juventud 18.95% (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.4% (-1.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.1% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 30.9% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 43.24% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 56.76% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 21.53% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 78.47% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 11.8% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Penarol 38.9% (+1.00)
Draw 42.9% (+0.37)
Juventud 18.2% (-1.38)

Team To Score First

Penarol 59.07% (+1.07)
No Goal 8.68% (-0.33)
Juventud 32.25% (-0.75)

Corners

Over 8 51.32% (-2.96)
Equal 8 12.27% (+0.11)
Under 8 36.4% (+2.83)
Over 9 39.43% (-2.79)
Equal 9 11.89% (-0.17)
Under 9 48.68% (+2.96)
Over 10.5 28.88% (-2.40)
Under 10.5 71.13% (+2.40)

Penarol Goals

Over 1.5 47.03% (+1.68)
Under 1.5 52.97% (-1.68)
Over 2.5 20.43% (+1.17)
Under 2.5 79.57% (-1.18)
Over 3.5 7.14% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 92.86% (-0.50)

Juventud Goals

Over 0.5 52.11% (-2.00)
Under 0.5 47.89% (+2.00)
Over 1.5 17.86% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 82.14% (+1.58)
Over 2.5 4.47% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 95.53% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 0.94% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 99.06% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Penarol 56.96%
Draw 24.08%
Juventud 18.96%
Penarol
1-0 @ 14.97% (+0.47)
2-0 @ 11.47% (+0.84)
2-1 @ 10.54% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 5.64% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.16)
Other @ 7.13% (+0.58)
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.78)
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.54)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 24.08%
Juventud
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.93% (-0.10)
Total : 18.96%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 21, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 27, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas
  • Emanuel Mas 46' yellowcard
  • Valentin Gauthier Pereira Brasil 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaime Baez 45'+2'
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 57'
  • goal Nahuel Herrera 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 21, 2019 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Varela 16' goal
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 39' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 57' yellowcard
  • Jorge Gravi 58' yellowcard
  • Juan Pintado 78' yellowcard
  • goal Fabricio Formiliano 47'
  • yellowcard Misael Riascos 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rojo 72'
  • yellowcard Walter Gargano 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 18, 2019 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Abascal 19' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Busquets 24' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lores 45' yellowcard
  • Guzman Pereira 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Abascal 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Sencion 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gravi 95'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 3, 2019 10.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Gabriel Fernandez 31' goal
  • Lucas Viatri 43' goal
  • Lucas Hernandez 62' goal
  • Ignacio Lores 82' goal
  • Cristian Lema 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Alberti 6'
  • yellowcard Jose Varela 43'
  • yellowcard Juan Pintado 45'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Gonzalez 74'
  • redcard Cristian Sencion 78'