Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Always Ready had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Always Ready win was 1-2 (6.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.