Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 12.30am
Mirassol 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (5.98%).

Result

Mirassol 61.38% (+1.11)
Draw 23.5% (-0.56)
Chapecoense 15.08% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.15% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.71% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 29.29% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 44.93% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 55.07% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 23.02% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 76.98% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 13.29% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 86.71% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 43.91% (-0.07)
Draw 43.12% (+0.47)
Chapecoense 12.96% (-0.41)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 67.39% (+0.65)
No Goal 8.03% (-0.33)
Chapecoense 24.58% (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 70.44% (+1.49)
Equal 8 10.13% (-0.10)
Under 8 19.43% (-1.38)
Over 9 58.9% (+1.41)
Equal 9 11.54% (+0.07)
Under 9 29.56% (-1.49)
Over 10.5 46.97% (+1.18)
Under 10.5 53.03% (-1.18)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 51.12% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 48.88% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 23.71% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 76.29% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 8.95% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.05% (-0.08)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 48.69% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 51.31% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 15.66% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 84.34% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 3.4% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.6% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 0.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Mirassol 61.37%
Draw 23.52%
Chapecoense 15.09%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 15.26% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 12.35% (+0.36)
2-1 @ 10.56% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.71% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 5.17% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.94% (+0.09)
Total : 61.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.33)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.52%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.62% (+0.02)
Total : 15.09%