Brasileiro Gameweek 15
May 10, 2026 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • Everton Galdino 13' yellowcard
  • Daniel Borges 39' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaça 46' yellowcard
  • Eduardo  66' yellowcard
  • Antonio Galeano 66' yellowcard
  • Eduardo  71' goal
  • yellowcard Maurício Garcez  54'
  • yellowcard Carvalheira 70'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Augusto 71'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos 79'
  • yellowcard Italo Vargas 79'
  • goal João Victor 81' (OG)

Mirassol vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 12.30am
Mirassol 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.53% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Mirassol 61.38%
Draw 23.53% (+0.04)
Chapecoense 15.12% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.25% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.81% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 29.19% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 45.03% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 54.97% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.09% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.91% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.32% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.68% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 43.91%
Draw 43.12%
Chapecoense 12.96%

Team To Score First

Mirassol 67.39%
No Goal 8.03%
Chapecoense 24.58%

Corners

Over 8 70.44%
Equal 8 10.13%
Under 8 19.43%
Over 9 58.9%
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 29.56%
Over 10.5 46.97%
Under 10.5 53.03%

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 51.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 48.81% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 23.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.25% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.04% (-0.01)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 48.77% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 51.23% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 15.74% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 84.26% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 3.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 96.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.63%
Under 3.5 99.37%

Score analysis

Mirassol 61.37%
Draw 23.55%
Chapecoense 15.12%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 15.23% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 10.57% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 8.95% (+0.01)
Total : 61.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.55%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.14% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 15.12%