Copa Libertadores Gameweek 4
May 7, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mirassol

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Mirassol 2 - 0 Always Ready

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Lanus 1 - 0 LDU Quito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mirassol win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw has a probability of 24.79% and a win for LDU Quito has a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a LDU Quito win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result

Mirassol 51.23% (+0.02)
Draw 24.79%
LDU Quito 24.01% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.06% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.93% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.07% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.25% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 50.75% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.63% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.37% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.12% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.88% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Mirassol 38.95% (-0.02)
Draw 41.94% (-0.09)
LDU Quito 19.11% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Mirassol 58.66% (-0.05)
No Goal 7% (+0.02)
LDU Quito 34.34% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.92% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.63%
Under 8 25.46% (+0.07)
Over 9 52.55% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.02)
Under 9 36.08% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 41.4% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.6% (+0.04)

Mirassol Goals

Over 1.5 46.59% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.41% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 21.22% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 78.78% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.27% (+0.04)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 59.47% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.53% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.33% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.67% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.83% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mirassol 51.23%
Draw 24.78%
LDU Quito 24%
Mirassol
1-0 @ 11.91% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 9.01% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 7.71% (-0.03)
Total : 51.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 24.78%
LDU Quito
0-1 @ 7.17% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 3.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Yerlin Quiñónez 6' goal
  • José Quintero  34' goal
  • Michael Estrada 69' yellowcard
  • Rodney Redes 69' yellowcard
  • Gian Franco Allala 76' yellowcard
  • Alexander Alvarado 85' yellowcard
  • Josué Cuero 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton Galdino 46'
  • yellowcard Tiquinho Soares 62'
  • yellowcard Nathan Fogaça 62'
  • yellowcard Alesson 62'
  • yellowcard Edson Carioca 67'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Denilson 76'