Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Gremio
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Grêmio
Santos
  • Carlos Vinícius 40' goal
  • Arthur Melo 46' yellowcard
  • Tetê 56' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vinícius 59' goal
  • Tetê 63' goal
  • Tetê 64' goal
  • Wagner Leonardo 83' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 32'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 55'
  • yellowcard Robinho Junior 82'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Díaz 82'
  • yellowcard Samuel Pierri 88'
  • yellowcard Moisés 88'
  • yellowcard 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Davizinho 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'

Gremio vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Santos

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Santos 0 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.42% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 46.9% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 27.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Santos 25.68% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.88%
Under 3.5 77.12%
Over 4.5 12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Gremio 34.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 45.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Santos 20.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Gremio 52.98% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Santos 38.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 30.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 45.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 42.18%
Over 10.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.04)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 41.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 60.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 25.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.79% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.99% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gremio 46.89%
Draw 27.42%
Santos 25.69%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.42%
Santos
0-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 25.69%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Santos
Oct 2, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Gremio
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Santos
  • Igor Eduardo Schlemper 36' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 48' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 77' goal
  • Marlon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 5'
  • yellowcard Luisao 10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Santos
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Gremio
  • Joaquim 16' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 63' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 64' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 72' yellowcard
  • Julio Furch 90' goal
  • Julio Furch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente Aguirre Camblor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Dodo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 16'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 43'
  • goal Franco Cristaldo 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 86'
  • redcard Reinaldo 90'+2'
  • redcard Renato Portaluppi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Alves 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Gremio
Apr 16, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
Santos
  • Joao Pedro 44' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Santos
Oct 10, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
  • Leo Baptistao 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 90'+2' goal
  • Felipe Jonatan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Tardelli 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 9'
  • yellowcard Thiago 32'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 47'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 67'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 72'
  • redcard Rafinha 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Gremio
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
2
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Santos
  • Diego Souza 4' goal
  • Diego Souza 22' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 42' goal
  • Leo Pereira 44' goal
  • Ferreira 68' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 69' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Guilherme 29'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 48'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 49'
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 56'
  • goal Marinho 78'
  • yellowcard Marinho 90'+6'

Form Data

Gremio 2 - 0 Palestino
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Confianca 0 - 3 Gremio
Gremio 0 - 1 Flamengo
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio
Athletico PR 0 - 0 Gremio
Santos 2 - 2 San Lorenzo
Santos 0 - 3 Coritiba
Coritiba 0 - 2 Santos
Santos 2 - 0 Bragantino
Deportivo Recoleta 1 - 1 Santos
Palmeiras 1 - 1 Santos