Brasileiro Gameweek 17
May 23, 2026 11.00pm
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Santos

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Santos 0 - 3 Coritiba
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Santos has a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.84%) , while for a Santos win it is 0-1 (8.17%).

Result

Gremio 46.84% (+1.97)
Draw 27.5% (-0.38)
Santos 25.66% (-1.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.38% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 29.62% (-0.88)
Over 2.5 44.7% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 55.3% (-1.21)
Over 3.5 22.88% (+0.93)
Under 3.5 77.12% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 12.01% (+0.85)
Under 4.5 87.99% (-0.86)

First Half Winner

Gremio 34.09% (+1.66)
Draw 45.54% (-1.44)
Santos 20.37% (-0.21)

Team To Score First

Gremio 52.99% (+1.53)
No Goal 8.74% (-0.29)
Santos 38.27% (-1.23)

Corners

Over 8 57.81% (+2.72)
Equal 8 11.73% (-0.09)
Under 8 30.46% (-2.64)
Over 9 45.85% (+2.56)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.17)
Under 9 42.18% (-2.73)
Over 10.5 34.69% (+2.19)
Under 10.5 65.31% (-2.19)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 41.71% (+2.08)
Under 1.5 58.29% (-2.08)
Over 2.5 16.71% (+1.32)
Under 2.5 83.29% (-1.31)
Over 3.5 5.62% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 94.38% (-0.71)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% (-1.15)
Under 0.5 39.86% (+1.15)
Over 1.5 25.41% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 74.59% (+0.60)
Over 2.5 8.23% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.77% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.03% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.97% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Gremio 46.83%
Draw 27.49%
Santos 25.66%
Gremio
1-0 @ 12.69% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.35)
2-0 @ 8.9% (+0.40)
3-0 @ 4.13% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.38% (+0.59)
Total : 46.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.11)
Total : 27.49%
Santos
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.74)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.79% (-0.03)
Total : 25.66%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 2, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Igor Eduardo Schlemper 36' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 48' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 77' goal
  • Marlon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 5'
  • yellowcard Luisao 10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Joaquim 16' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 63' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 64' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 72' yellowcard
  • Julio Furch 90' goal
  • Julio Furch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente Aguirre Camblor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Dodo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 16'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 43'
  • goal Franco Cristaldo 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 86'
  • redcard Reinaldo 90'+2'
  • redcard Renato Portaluppi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Alves 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Joao Pedro 44' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leo Baptistao 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 90'+2' goal
  • Felipe Jonatan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Tardelli 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 9'
  • yellowcard Thiago 32'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 47'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 67'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 72'
  • redcard Rafinha 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
2
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Diego Souza 4' goal
  • Diego Souza 22' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 42' goal
  • Leo Pereira 44' goal
  • Ferreira 68' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 69' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Guilherme 29'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 48'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 49'
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 56'
  • goal Marinho 78'
  • yellowcard Marinho 90'+6'