Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Confianca win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Confianca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.