Copa do Brasil
May 14, 2026 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
  • Daniel Felizardo 46' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Nunes 46' yellowcard
  • Maikon 62' yellowcard
  • Fabrício Oya 81' yellowcard
  • Fabrício Oya 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 14'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann  46'
  • yellowcard Tetê 46'
  • yellowcard Willian 46'
  • yellowcard Fabián Balbuena 45'+2'
  • goal Martin Braithwaite 58'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 64'
  • yellowcard Willian 71'

Confianca vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Confianca

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Confianca

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Confianca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Confianca win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Confianca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Confianca 37.76% (+0.19)
Draw 28.92% (-0.06)
Gremio 33.32% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.46% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.61% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 34.39% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 39.75% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 60.25% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 19.32% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 80.68% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 9.76% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 90.24% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Confianca 27.32% (+0.02)
Draw 47.78% (+0.29)
Gremio 24.9% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Confianca 46.08%
No Goal 10.88% (+0.05)
Gremio 43.04% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.65% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12.94%
Under 8 37.41% (+0.08)
Over 9 37.26% (-0.09)
Equal 9 12.38% (-0.01)
Under 9 50.35% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 26.48% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 73.52% (+0.07)

Confianca Goals

Over 1.5 32.14% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 67.86% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.08% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.32% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.68% (+0.05)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 63.72% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 36.28% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 28.24% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 71.76% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 9.96% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 90.04% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 2.63% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 97.37% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Confianca 37.75%
Draw 28.91%
Gremio 33.31%
Confianca
1-0 @ 12.19% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.03% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.14% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.24% (-0.01)
Total : 37.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.88% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.03)
Total : 28.91%
Gremio
0-1 @ 11.29% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.55% (-0.07)
Total : 33.31%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Martin Braithwaite 46' yellowcard
  • Leonel Pérez 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vinícius 56' goal
  • Tetê 65' yellowcard
  • Francis Amuzu 71' goal
  • André Henrique 74' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valdir 57'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Nunes 57'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
  • yellowcard Maikon 81'
  • yellowcard João Pedro 81'
  • yellowcard Mandovani 90'+2'