Copa do Brasil
May 14, 2026 11.00pm
Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista

Confianca vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Confianca

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Confianca

Gremio

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
Gremio 2 - 0 Confianca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Confianca win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 33.3% and a draw has a probability of 28.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Confianca win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (11.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Confianca 37.78% (+0.22)
Draw 28.92% (-0.04)
Gremio 33.3% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.77% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.89% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 34.11% (-0.26)
Over 2.5 40.12% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 59.88% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 19.77% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 80.18% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 10.04% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 89.96% (-0.23)

First Half Winner

Confianca 27.4% (+0.10)
Draw 47.41% (-0.16)
Gremio 25.19% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Confianca 46.15% (+0.11)
No Goal 10.78% (-0.15)
Gremio 43.07% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.72% (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.93% (-0.02)
Under 8 37.35% (+0.22)
Over 9 37.33% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.38% (-0.04)
Under 9 50.28% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 26.54% (-0.13)
Under 10.5 73.46% (+0.12)

Confianca Goals

Over 1.5 32.44% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 67.56% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 11.27% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 88.73% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 3.42% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.58% (-0.13)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 63.87% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 36.13% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 28.53% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.47% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.17% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.83% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.71% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.29% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Confianca 37.77%
Draw 28.92%
Gremio 33.3%
Confianca
1-0 @ 12.12% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.31% (+0.11)
Total : 37.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.78% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.16% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.03)
Total : 28.92%
Gremio
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.6% (+0.03)
Total : 33.3%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Apr 21, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Martin Braithwaite 46' yellowcard
  • Leonel Pérez 46' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vinícius 56' goal
  • Tetê 65' yellowcard
  • Francis Amuzu 71' goal
  • André Henrique 74' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valdir 57'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Nunes 57'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
  • yellowcard Maikon 81'
  • yellowcard João Pedro 81'
  • yellowcard Mandovani 90'+2'