Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Martin Braithwaite 4' goal
  • Riquelme 46' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann  66' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vinícius 67' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavón 68' goal
  • Wagner Leonardo 78' yellowcard
  • Tetê 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard César Munder 46'
  • yellowcard Ian Garguez 46'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 69'
  • yellowcard Martín Araya 78'
  • yellowcard N. Da Silva 78'

Gremio vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Torque 1 - 0 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.32% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 52% (-0.15)
Draw 24.32% (+0.22)
Palestino 23.68% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.85% (-0.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.02% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 25.98% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 49.66% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 26.43% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 73.57% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 14.97% (-0.67)
Under 4.5 85.03% (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Gremio 34.27% (-0.04)
Draw 45.57% (+0.05)
Palestino 20.16% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Gremio 56.42% (-0.26)
No Goal 7.27% (+0.23)
Palestino 36.31% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.77% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.6% (+0.02)
Under 8 31.62% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.05% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.02)
Under 9 43.23% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 34.17% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 65.83% (+0.07)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 47.53% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 52.47% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 21.83% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 78.17% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 8.33% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 91.67% (+0.38)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 41.72% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 24.37% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 75.63% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 7.58% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 92.42% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 1.81% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.19% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Gremio 52.01%
Draw 24.31%
Palestino 23.68%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.6% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.29% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.27% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.11)
Other @ 8.29% (-0.37)
Total : 52.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.27% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 24.31%
Palestino
0-1 @ 7.11% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.77% (-0.10)
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Fernando Meza 76' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Fernández 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Salgado 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 11'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 14'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 17'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 46'
  • yellowcard Erick Noriega 46'
  • yellowcard Arthur Melo 46'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 71'
  • yellowcard Riquelme 71'