Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 5
May 21, 2026 1.00am
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Gremio

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
Torque 1 - 0 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw has a probability of 24.13% and a win for Palestino has a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a Palestino win it is 0-1 (6.97%).

Result

Gremio 52.18% (+0.04)
Draw 24.13% (-0.05)
Palestino 23.65% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.53% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.49% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.41% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.59% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.21% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.76% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.58% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.42% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Gremio 34.3%
Draw 45.5% (+0.01)
Palestino 20.2% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Gremio 56.73%
No Goal 7.07% (-0.02)
Palestino 36.2% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.68%
Equal 8 11.58%
Under 8 31.74%
Over 9 44.99% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 43.32%
Over 10.5 34.15%
Under 10.5 65.85% (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 48.07% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.93% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 22.37% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 77.63% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.71% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.29% (-0.04)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 41.57% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 24.69% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.31% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.26% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 1.88% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.12% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gremio 52.2%
Draw 24.13%
Palestino 23.64%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 8.66% (+0.05)
Total : 52.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.13%
Palestino
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Fernando Meza 76' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Fernández 76' yellowcard
  • Dylan Salgado 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 11'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 14'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinícius 17'
  • yellowcard José Enamorado 46'
  • yellowcard Erick Noriega 46'
  • yellowcard Arthur Melo 46'
  • yellowcard Martin Braithwaite 71'
  • yellowcard Riquelme 71'