Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 4
May 6, 2026 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Centenario
  • Franco Pizzichillo 51' goal
  • Juan Quintana 73' yellowcard
  • Diogo Guzmán 84' yellowcard
  • Alexander Da Silva Gunnarsson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • José Tarán 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronnie Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Martín Araya 70'
  • yellowcard Jason León 70'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Tapia 81'
  • yellowcard Albert Gómez 90'+2'

Montevideo City Torque vs Palestino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 29, 2026 11.00pm
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 1 Torque

Palestino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 1.30am
Palestino 0 - 0 Gremio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Palestino win was 0-1 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Montevideo City Torque 42.71% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 25.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Palestino 31.51% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 48.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.34% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Montevideo City Torque 31.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 45.1%
Palestino 23.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Montevideo City Torque 52.01% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Palestino 40.64% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 32.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 44.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 44.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 33.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.67% ▲ (+0.04)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 1.5 40.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.66% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 83.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.33% ▲ (+0.02)

Palestino Goals

Over 0.5 65.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.44% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.56% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 11.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 88.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Montevideo City Torque 42.71%
Draw 25.83%
Palestino 31.51%
Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.66%
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 42.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.83%
Palestino
0-1 @ 8.59%
1-2 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 31.51%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 2
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
  • Jason León 66' yellowcard
  • Jason León 68' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Fernández 76' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 84' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Meza 84' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Meza 85' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 85' yellowcard
  • goal Salomón Rodríguez 11'
  • goal Sebastián Gallegos 63' (OG)
  • yellowcard Diogo Guzmán 82'
  • yellowcard Bautista Kociubinski 82'
  • yellowcard Luka Andrade 90'
  • yellowcard Kevin Silva 90'