Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (11.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.