Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.