Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.46% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.