Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Atletico Mineiro
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
Botafogo
  • Mateo Cassierra 23' goal
  • Alexsander  46' yellowcard
  • Alexsander  49' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo  68' yellowcard
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  69' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo  69' yellowcard
  • Reinier 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kadir Barría 64'
  • yellowcard Marçal 75'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Montoro 75'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan Barrera 81'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 90'

Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 1 - 2 Remo
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 45.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 27.28%
Botafogo 27.55% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 49.07%
Under 2.5 50.93%
Over 3.5 26.31%
Under 3.5 73.69%
Over 4.5 14.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.83% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 35.19%
Draw 43.84%
Botafogo 20.96%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 57.14%
No Goal 7.65%
Botafogo 35.21%

Corners

Over 8 63.62%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 24.71%
Over 9 51.05%
Equal 9 12.57%
Under 9 36.38%
Over 10.5 38.81%
Under 10.5 61.19%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 43.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 56.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.9% ▼ (-0.02)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 63.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.84%
Under 3.5 97.16%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.17%
Draw 27.27%
Botafogo 27.55%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.48% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.27%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.55%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Botafogo
Sep 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Atletico Mineiro
Apr 20, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Botafogo
  • Tomas Cuello 48' goal
  • Rony 56' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 75' yellowcard
  • Hulk 79' yellowcard
  • redcard David Loiola 63'
  • yellowcard John 74'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 79'
Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Botafogo
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 30' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 47' goal
  • Fausto Vera 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • redcard Gregore 2'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 35'
  • goal Alex Telles 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 79'
  • yellowcard Hulk 90'+4'
  • goal Junior Santos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 21, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Botafogo
  • Rubens 37' yellowcard
  • Rubens 37' yellowcard
  • Rubens 40' redcard
  • Rubens 40' redcard
  • Deyverson 45' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 45' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 71' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Mendes 77' yellowcard
  • Matheus Mendes 77' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 82' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 82' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 90'+3'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 90'+7'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 90'+7'
  • redcard Luiz Henrique 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Botafogo
Jul 8, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Atletico Mineiro
  • Luiz Henrique 13' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 13' goal
  • Bastos 17' yellowcard
  • Bastos 17' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 21' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 21' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 79' goal
  • Cuiabano 79' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+4' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Igor Rabello 24'
  • redcard Igor Rabello 24'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 84'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Atletico Mineiro
Sep 17, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Botafogo
  • Mariano 45' yellowcard
  • Mariano 45' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' goal
  • Paulinho 81' goal
  • Matias Zaracho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 28'
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 28'

Form Data

Juventud 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Cienciano 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Ceara
Coritiba 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo 2 - 1 Racing
Botafogo 1 - 2 Remo
Botafogo 3 - 0 Independiente Petrolero
Botafogo 2 - 2 Internacional
Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense
Chapecoense 1 - 4 Botafogo