Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Atletico Mineiro
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Arena MRV
Botafogo

Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.00am
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.00pm
Botafogo 1 - 2 Remo
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Danilo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Botafogo has a probability of 27.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Botafogo win is 0-1 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.49%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 45.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 27.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Botafogo 27.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 26.62% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 49.07% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 50.93% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 26.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 73.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 4.5 14.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 85.84% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 35.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 43.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Botafogo 20.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 57.14% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Botafogo 35.21% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 63.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 24.71% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 9 51.05% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 9 12.57%
Under 9 36.38% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 38.81% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 61.19% ▼ (-0.22)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 43.05% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 56.95% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 63.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 29.3% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 90.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 45.12%
Draw 27.27%
Botafogo 27.61%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 45.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.27%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Botafogo
Sep 20, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Atletico Mineiro
Apr 20, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Botafogo
  • Tomas Cuello 48' goal
  • Rony 56' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 75' yellowcard
  • Hulk 79' yellowcard
  • redcard David Loiola 63'
  • yellowcard John 74'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 79'
Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Botafogo
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 30' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 47' goal
  • Fausto Vera 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • redcard Gregore 2'
  • goal Luiz Henrique 35'
  • goal Alex Telles 44'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 79'
  • yellowcard Hulk 90'+4'
  • goal Junior Santos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 21, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Botafogo
  • Rubens 37' yellowcard
  • Rubens 37' yellowcard
  • Rubens 40' redcard
  • Rubens 40' redcard
  • Deyverson 45' yellowcard
  • Deyverson 45' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 71' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Mendes 77' yellowcard
  • Matheus Mendes 77' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 82' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 82' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Igor Rabello 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 90'+3'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 90'+7'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 90'+7'
  • redcard Luiz Henrique 90'+10'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Botafogo
Jul 8, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
Atletico Mineiro
  • Luiz Henrique 13' goal
  • Luiz Henrique 13' goal
  • Bastos 17' yellowcard
  • Bastos 17' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 21' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 21' yellowcard
  • Cuiabano 79' goal
  • Cuiabano 79' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+4' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 90'+4' goal
  • redcard Igor Rabello 24'
  • redcard Igor Rabello 24'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 84'
  • yellowcard Brahian Palacios 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Atletico Mineiro
Sep 17, 2023 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Botafogo
  • Mariano 45' yellowcard
  • Mariano 45' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 81' goal
  • Paulinho 81' goal
  • Matias Zaracho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matias Zaracho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 28'
  • yellowcard Leonel Di Placido 28'

Form Data

Juventud 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Cienciano 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 4 Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Ceara
Coritiba 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo 2 - 1 Racing
Botafogo 1 - 2 Remo
Botafogo 3 - 0 Independiente Petrolero
Botafogo 2 - 2 Internacional
Botafogo 1 - 0 Chapecoense
Chapecoense 1 - 4 Botafogo